Tuesday, 16 April 2013

RBC Heritage - Hilton Head 2013

The PGA Tour heads out of Georgia and onto South Carolina this week for one of the best tournaments on the calendar. The Heritage is played at Harbour Tour GC, a short course with small greens, where accurate play is required. Yet again on the PGA Tour we have a very strong field assembled making the selection process difficult once more. One thing that can be considered for the shortlist though is that there have been numerous multiple winners here. Davis Love has won this 5 times! Some players this week would have played at Augusta last week and may not be "ready" this week whereas some will. Brandt Snedeker heads the betting and despite being disappointed with his final round at Augusta he may just be ready this week but is not backable for me at 13/1 despite having won the plaid jacket 2 years ago. Luke Donald should go well as he has done in the past but I'm looking for better bang for my buck this week.
I had shortlisted Boo Weekley for this, he is twice winner here.(2007 & 2008) and comes into the week with some decent form. He has won just twice on tour- both here so its hard to take 33/1 for him to complete a hat-trick.
Another experienced player that has won twice here in the past (2000 & 2004) that does take my fancy @ 55/1 with Bet Victor is Stewart Cink. T25th in Augusta proves his game is in fine nick, following a T6th at Houston. This is a player that will be looking to perform well on a track he likes to continue his decent 2013 season.

My second pick this week is also a former winner here and has shown a real liking for this course. he's also a player that may also be inspired to better things this week following his compatriots win at The Masters. Step forward Aaron Baddeley @ 50/1 with Paddypower. A brilliant putter, the Aussie should be excited to be playing here and comes in with decent form this season too. TOP20s at Texas and Pebble Beach and a TOP10 at the Farmers suggests his game is right for this. Although he missed the cut last year, the previous 6 years saw him finish no worse than 22nd with a win and 2 TOP 10s.

My final two picks are  Martin Kaymer and Bob Estes. The German made the cut last week at Augusta (T 35th), a course that he has not performed well on in the past. Being a short course this week, Martin's length off the tee will not be of any advantage but his iron and short game could serve him very well here. This is his first full season on tour in America and he will be anxious to start producing some results. A quality player that cannot be ignored most weeks and if he gets a solid first round under his belt he could get stronger over the 4 days. 66/1 is enticing with Paddypower.
Bob Estes has made 6 cuts from 7 starts this year and comes here off the back of a TOP 10 in Texas. A hot and cold player who also has indifferent form at Harbour Town but there is enough to like about his season so far. His last 6 visits here resulted in 3 MCs and 13-24-22 finishes. Small stakes at 125/1 with Boylesports just about give me some value and is added to the staking plan as an outside chance.

TIP 1: 1 pt e/w S.Cink @ 55/1 Bet Victor

TIP 2: 1 pt e/w A.Baddeley @ 50/1 Paddypower

TIP 3: 0.5 pts e/w M.Kaymer @ 66/1 Paddypower

TIP 4: 0.5 pts e/w B.Estes @ 125/1 Boylesports