Monday, 10 March 2014

Trophee Hassan 2014


We’re off to Morocco this week for the Trophee Hassan to be played over a links/coastal course(Golf du Palais Royal) measuring just 6800 yards. It’s a tight track with a lot of bunkers and it’s been an event I’ve enjoyed watching on TV the past few years. Unfortunately, the bigger names on tour are missing again this year although George Coetzee, just off a strong showing at Doral headlines. I’m expecting him to be a bit jaded though this week and Pablo Larrazabal @ 25/1 had tempted me towards the head of the betting. He has excellent course form with 2 TOP10s the past 2 years here but I am attracted to bigger prices this week.

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First of these is Chris Wood @ 40/1. Put up here on this blog LTO, Chris is playing well enough to grab another win and should the wind blow as expected here he will be up there. An absentee last year, he did play the previous 2 years finishing down the field but I’m more confident in recent form with figures of 6-23-43-65-18 in his last 5 starts. The last 3 events have been progressive and this a field that he can beat.

Ireland’s Shane Lowry has been too quiet of late and represents some decent value for me here at  70/1. We are well aware of his wins in the wind at Baltray, Ireland and in Portugal and with a TOP 20 last visit here in 2012, the ever slimming hurling fanatic could be about to strike. He’s over-priced this week and is worth a shot.
So too is his compatriot, Damien McGrane @ 125/1. He has shown lately that he prefers the shorter tracks where accuracy is key and I’m very surprised to see him a triple figures this week again. He missed the cut last year (wasn’t a great season for him) and yet finished TOP5 the year before.  He was TOP 10 in Africa on a similar short track last month and he can repeat that performance here.

I really like the chances of Scotsman, Craig Lee @ 70/1 who has also shown he prefers these types of courses and the wind.  Top 10 last year and TOP15 the year before in his only 2 attempts proves he likes the course and whilst recent form is missing, he could just click if arriving with good memories.

I have to include Patrik Sjoland for a decent finish again this week. Loves this type of course and could be a surprise packet. Same with Tom Lewis, proven wind player and links type player who could give us a shout in the TOP10 markets.

Staking Plan (8 pts/units)
1 pt WIN C.Wood @ 40/1
0.75 pts e/w S.Lowry @ 70/1
0.5 pts e/w D.McGrane @ 125/1
0.75 pts e/w C.Lee @ 70/1

TOP 10 FINISH
1 pt D.McGrane @ 8/1
1 pt T.Lewis @ 11/1

TOP20 Finish
1 pt P.Sjoland @ 16/1

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