Wednesday, 4 February 2015

Malaysia Open 2015

From the desert heat to the humidity of Kuala Lumpar in Malaysia, the European Tour moves into its first Asian swing of the season this week, where Lee Westwood will defend his title won in emphatic fashion last year. Whilst we have a new date for the event we may be susceptible to the varying rain showers although forecasts suggest we should be ok this time round but one trend based on weather factors that has emerged over the years is that having an early start in round one seems to work out. We'll see if that rings true this week and I certainly hope so for my main pick in the shape of old favourite, Thomas Aiken @ 60.00 for the win.

The Joburger finished nicely the weekend in Dubai and should be confident of a good effort here where he has had decent form in the past. The course will suit those with strong tee to green games as proven by the list of winners on this course - Westwood, Mannesero and Ryan Moore (twice) to name just a few. Aiken ranks high for accuracy on tour and his putting seems to be a bit better these days. If he gets hot and gets a great start on Thursday he should be in contention and he is simply better than a 50/1 shot for this! He recently took out the Sunshine Tour Order of Merit, played mediocre stuff in Abu Dhabi before finding his rhythm in Dubai so he must be confident in his own game.  He's certainly a TOP 10 bet for me @ 6.00

Andy Sullivan gets the nod also this week on the back of some solid returns the past couple of months. Not only a recent winner in South Africa but solid returns in the desert where he produced results of 4-19-57 augurs well for the Englishman here. This course will reward good ball strikers and Sullivan is certainly in the groove of late. He was T21 in the season finale in Dubai and was 4th in Turkey the week previously so that form is holding and given he was T13th here in 2014 he should be confident of a bold showing. At 26.00 he's a fair price and I'm happy to have an interest. He's 2.25 for TOP20 as opposed to 3.25 for TOP10 so he's backed in the former market with confidence. 

My final selection is Eddie Pepperell @ 75.00/7.00/4.00 . Eddie like his compatriot, Sullivan, is enjoying a solid spell on tour and he's been threatening to win very soon. Eddie missed the cut last week which may have helped our price this week but he was 4th in Qatar and T26 in Abu Dhabi. Very similar to Sullivan end of 2014, he produced results of 26-10-26 in the three events from the BMW Masters through to DP World Tour Championships! Eddie is ready!! 


Staking Plan

0.75 pts WIN T. Aiken @ 60.00
1.5 pts WIN A. Sullivan @ 26.00
0.75 pts WIN E. Pepperell @ 75.00

TOP10
3 pts T. Aiken @ 6.00

TOP20
5 pts A. Sullivan @ 2.25
4 pts E.Pepperell @ 4.00