Wednesday 6 September 2017

European Masters 2017 - Crans sur Sierre, Switzerland

One of the most eagerly anticipated events on the tour, The Omega European Masters takes place in the Swiss Alps this week where Alex Noren returns to action hoping to complete a hattrick of wins having taken the title in 2009 & 2016.

My Shortlist
Best Odds
Exchange
My Odds
My % Book
Value (Y/N)
TOP10
TOP20
Tyrrell Hatton
41
42
34
2.94%
YES
4.6
2.8
Benjamin Hebert
81
81
67
1.49%
YES
8
4.33
Mike Lorenzo Vera
81
81
71
1.41%
YES
8
4.2
Pablo Larrazabal
81
81
67
1.49%
YES
8
4.5
Victor Dubuisson
81
81
71
1.41%
YES
9
4.5
Dylan Frittelli
81
90
81
1.23%
YES
10
5.5
David Lipsky
81
105
81
1.23%
YES
8
5
George Coetzee
101
114
61
1.64%
YES
11
5.5
James Morrison
111
105
101
0.99%
YES
10
6
Alexander Bjork
111
114
101
0.99%
YES
12
5.6
Julien Quesne
151
152
201
0.5
NO
15
7
Bernd Wiesberger
26
27
23
4.35%
YES
3.4
2.2
Ross Fisher
36
30
31
3.23%
NO
4.33
2.5

It's a very short preview again this week I'm afraid due to time constraints but I did release my 13-man shortlist(above) earlier today with the highlighted players very much my focus for the week ahead. Frenchman, Mike Lorenzo-Vera, may have been better known for his mustache to date but we can't ignore his consistent form of late either. 9th last week in Prague and 3rd in Paris in July, he's 10/13 with 6 of those resulting in T-20s for the season so far. He makes his 5th appearance here this week and clearly likes the course. He had to retire in 2015 but in his three other visits he has posted 12-19-14. Same again this week please Mike and hopefully a charge at the title come Sunday @ 81.00, 4.20 (TOP20)

Despite arriving "very fresh" I think its time to get onside with Bernd Wiesberger @ 26.00. The Austrian is 16/17 with a win in Shenzhen and 6 TOP-20s for the season.  I like his price here and on review would probably see him more a 18/1-20/1 shot in this field given his form this season and he can go in here for win number two of the season.

Lastly, I'll take Alexander Bjork for a TOP20 this week despite making his debut at the course. He's 18/22 for the season, from which he's posted 7 TOP-20s (35%) - the odds of 5.60 imply 18% so I'm keen to get on board here. Tempted also by Coetzee, Quesne & Morrison but I'll stick with the Swede and hope it's the right pick !

Staking Plan

1.50 pts e/w B. Wiesberger @ 26.0
0.50 pts win M. Lorenzo-Vera @ 81.00
3.00 pts TOP20 M. Lorenzo-Vera @ 4.20
3.50 pts TOP20 A. Bjork @ 5.60




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