Sunday 20 October 2024

Genesis Championship 2024 - Jack Nicklaus GC, Incheon, South Korea

I really don't know anymore! Julien Guerrier goes in just 2 weeks after I backed him. And Jordan Smith places having decided he's not a winner. I don't mind Smith placing as the return won't pay in the long term but to see the Frenchman win just about sums up my golf betting these days. All week I thought Veerman was going to go close and definitely place but in true Sunday fashion for me of late, he decided with 9 holes to play he may as well throw in a couple of doubles! No return in Andalucia despite all 3 players finishing TOP-20

In Las Vegas it was more or less the same in a weather affected event. I thought Hadwin was overpriced but he played like a player who should have been priced even higher so I may have missed some news on his status before the off but have no idea. Xiong and Sigg decided to join Berger in doing nothing Sunday to complete a weekend to forget!

Just the one selection in Korea and I'm backing a 22yr old local Yubin Yang @ 55/1 - 8 places. A recent winner (Busan Open), his strong driving will be an asset on a Jack Nicklaus design and think he's worth a go on home soil

Selection

2.5 pts e/w Yubin Jang @55/1 - 8 places

Tuesday 15 October 2024

Shriners Children's Open 2024 - TPC Summerlin, Las Vegas

 Change in tactics !! as per introduction for the Andalucia Masters preview,  I am not taking players into consideration that simply don't win at odds lower than 50 -60s! I'm simply not getting enough placings in the bank and last week's Open de France summed it up for me. That said I was amazed that I actually had three players on my staking plan that Ben Coley also tipped up (at better odds too I might add) yet his last pick, Dan Bradbury went in @ 160/1 - Boy could I have done with that! 

As I write this post I have noted that prices I looked at last night have come in and low and behold, Mr. Coley has 3 players again this week that were on last night's shortlist but rather than just going in and following Ben, I have to consider the prices now and have therefore dropped Eric Cole (I don't see any value in less than 50s), Cam Davis ( I'd want 60s+ lads!) and Chad Ramey (I had him 125s) . This is isn't the first time I've been keen on some players only to see their prices slashed due to Ben's preview and whilst frustrating, and I can't knock him, it does make it tougher to get the "value" come Tuesday or Wednesday. However, I'll take some positives (I need to) ; I'm zeroing in on the right players, if Ben is putting up players that are indeed on my final shortlist, I must be doing something right...just need to get some returns now)

I like TPC Summerlin and this event ! I'm +44.73 pts for the event having only played it since 2020 (4 events) with Sungjae Im doing the business 4 years ago @ 33/1

Adam Hadwin likes it here too and I had him priced at 28/1 - 33/1, so the 40s has to be taken. The Canadian has returned results here of 2-10-6-34-4-27-mc-10 in his 8 visits. Indeed I was him last year (@ 40s) as too was I on Hadley & Dahmen who also placed, so I'm hoping to go one better in the winners enclosure and look for better returns on the podium.

I've reluctantly had to pass on Kizzire, Hadley, Poston, Pendrith,and Tom Hoge (really fancy his chances but not @ 28s) whilst Adam Schenk is a conundrum here , arrives with no form yet has a bunch of course form (4 TOP-20s in his 7 visits and perhaps the  11/2 should be looked at)

Selections


2.5 pts e/w A. Hadwin @ 40/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w G. Sigg @ 110/1 - 8 places
1.5 pts e/w D. Berger @ 50/1 8 places
0.5 pts e/w N. Xiong @ 300/1 - 8 places