Jonsson Workwear Open 2023 - Steyn City, Joburg South Africa

 A new tournament, being played at The Club @ Steyn City where the "Steyn Championship" was played last March that saw Shaun Norris victorious with a winning -25 score. We can expect the same birdie-fest again this week and we should be keeping an eye on the bombers at the Jack Nicklaus design as the course was built as a resort venue for tourists.

From my 15-man shortlist below I opted for 4 players to make my staking plan here and in doing so have ignored the WGC Matchplay in Texas (another course I can't take to) as well as the Corales Puntacana Championship.I'll keep the faith with Ferguson as he did place last week after a slow Thursday, retry Del Rey and go back in for a look at Jaco Prinsloo and add Alexander Knappe who I feel should go very well here on the basis that he's fairly decent off the tee & tee-to-green, ranks as high as 16th on Data-Golf's Baseline Index trend despite missing the cut on his last two outings. He has however posted two T-10s from his twelve starts, which came in the preceding events to the missed cuts. The concern though is he has indeed missed 7 cuts from those 12 events but the 110/1 - 8 places more than entices me in ( I made him best price 100/1 although would have considered down to 80s here)

 I may get onboard on a player or two on the LPGA where Leona Maguires defends for the first time on the tour.

My Shortlist	BET365 Odds	Best Odds	Best Exchange	My Odds
Adri Arnaus	19	19	21	21
Matthieu Pavon	34	36	43	36
Ewen Ferguson	36	46	59	41
Romain Langasque	36	41	45	46
Sami Valimaki	41	46	54	46
Tom McKibbin	34	36	39	46
Hennie du Plessis	46	51	54	46
Calum Hill	61	61	59	81
Jaco Prinsloo	61	81	108	67
Brandon Stone	56	67	108	67
Ross Fisher	61	67	74	71
Jeong Weon Ko	81	81	88	91
Alejandro Del Rey	111	101	93	101
Alexander Knappe	126	126	147	101
Martin Vorster	226	301	510	201

Selections

1.25 pt e/w A. Knappe @ 110/1 - 8 places (Bet365)
1.0 pt e/w  E. Ferguson @ 35/1 - 8 places (Bet365)
0.75 pt e/w A. Del Rey @110/1 - 8 places (Bet365)
0.75 pt e/w J. Prinsloo @ 80/1 - 8 places (Boylesports)

SDC Championship 2023 - St Francis Links, St Francis, Eastern Cape

 Just two selections from my final 15-man shortlist below. Cautious approach on DPT for the next 4-6 weeks as field strength is somewhat poor, and value is not easy to see at the moment as the level of tour golf being played on this tour at the moment is a concern for the future of its tour it has to be said.

My Shortlist	BET365 Odds	Best Odds	Best Exchange	My Odds
George COETZEE	31	31	26	21
Rafael Cabrera Bello	41	51	44	36
Matthieu PAVON	46	56	48	56
Dale WHITNELL	46	36	30	46
Johannes VEERMAN	46	51	42	51
Matthew JORDAN	51	46	44	56
Ewen FERGUSON	61	61	54	51
Calum HILL	61	71	58	61
Tom MCKIBBIN	61	56	47	67
Richie RAMSAY	67	67	58	67
Ross FISHER	76	81	73	71
Matthew SOUTHGATE	76	61	73	71
Shaun NORRIS	81	91	93	71
Andy SULLIVAN	81	71	76	71
Alexander KNAPPE	111	126	106	91

Selections:

1.5 pts e/w G. Coetzee @ 30/1 - 7 places
1 pt e/w E. Ferguson @ 55/1 - 7 places

The Players Championship 2023 - TPC Sawgrass, Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida

 Tough to call here this week with yet again a star studded lineup and if it's half as good as Bay Hill last week, Riviera & Phoenix last month, then it's gonna be unmissable viewing this coming Sunday night.

Time to go in on JT I think and I'll chance Shano one more time as well given his liking for Sawgrass and I'll twist again with Adam Scott having been onboard with both in recent weeks. Tommy Fleetwood hasn't won anywhere since the Dark Ages (last November at the Nedbank !!) yet I fancy his chances this week at Sawgrass where he has played well in the past having posted a brace of TOP-7s in 2019 & 2018 before finished 22nd twelve months ago. Three T-20s from his 6 starts on the PGA Tour this season (strangely better reading than best placed 38th from 2 starts on the DPT) means the Englishman arrives here in solid form and he could well surprise at nice odds.

Selections:

2.5 pts e/w J. Thomas @ 20/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w S. Lowry @ 40/1 - 10 places
1 pt e/w A. Scott @ 66/1 - 10 places
1 pt e/w T. Fleetwood @ 60/1 - 10 places

Kenya Open 2023 - Muthaiga GC, Nairobi, Kenya

 From the final 10-man shortlist below, I've played 4 players this week that may have appeared on this very blog only very recently.

My Shortlist	BET365 Odds	Best Odds	Best Exchange	My Odds
Adri Arnaus	23	26	28	23
Julien Brun	31	34	39	29
Rafael Cabrera Bello	36	36	59	29
Richie Ramsay	51	51	69	46
Ewen Ferguson	46	51	54	41
Tom McKibbin	67	67	88	61
Alejandro Del Rey	126	126	137	81
Shaun Norris	101	126	196	91
Tom Lewis	126	201	294	151
Gary Hurley	501	501	490	301

Selections:

1 pt e/w J. Brun @ 33/1 - 6 places
1.5 pts e/w E. Ferguson @ 50/1 - 7 places
1 pt e/w T. McKibbin @ 66/1 - 7 places
0.5 pts e/w A. Del Rey @ 100/1 - 7 places

Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 - Bay Hill, Florida

 Selections

1.5 pts e/w J. Day @ 28/1 - 8 places 
1 pt e/w S. Lowry @ 50/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w R. Fowler @ 50/1 - 8 places 

1 pt e/w C. Kirk @ 80/1 - 10 places

Puerto Rico 2023 - Grand Reserve GC, Puerto Rico

 Its Wednesday, 17:00 here in Dublin so that indicates as I write this post that I only have time for the selections.

Max McGreevy has been woeful of late but I'm always interested in these lower fields and thanks to recent form his price is OK @ 100/1 - 7 places. Not sure its real value but its a bet I want to take given the name

Brice Garnett has form here - He's worth a stab @ 33/1 - 7 places

Erik Barnes has been ultra consistent in the KFT level and this field is no better being a PGA event - 28/1 is the max I'd be willing to have an interest but found it hard to leave him out

Selections & Staking Plan

1 pt e/w E. Barnes @ 28/1 - 7 places

1 pt e/w B. Garnett @ 33/1 - 7 places

1 pt e/w M. McGreevy @ 100/1 - 7 places