Wednesday, 9 December 2020

DP World Tour Championship 2020 - Earth Course, Jumeirah Estates, Dubai

 The curtain falls on what has been an extraordinary European Tour season and one that the Tour committee can be proud of producing given the circumstances that hit them. They are rewarded with a fairly strong field too this week where 5 Major champions are in the field with current PGA Champion, Collin Morikawa teeing it up with his compatriot and regular Dubai and Europeantour supported Patrick Reed. Indeed, its Reed who leads the Race to Dubai and if he can produce a similar results to his last 4 visits here then he's most likely to be the coveted European Tour Race to Dubai Champion. Reed was only a lowly 28th last year but was 2nd in 2018, and 10th in both 2017 & 2015 on his two only other appearances. He quite rightly heads the betting ahead of Tyrell Hatton who has produced some superb golf over the last few months and will be hoping to finish the year off in style.

Tommy Fleetwood will try go one better than twelve months ago and Viktor Hovland arrives on the back of his 2nd PGA tour victory last week, whilst Sungjae Im gets an invite to make his debut. Its a competitive looking field as is there but throw in the likes of hat-trick seeking Bezuidenhout, Fitzpatrick, Wallace, Wiesberger, Pieters and Andy Sullivan, then  its bound to be an interesting week ahead and gives us the viewer a nice send off for 2020. 

There are a lot of players arriving with half decent form under their belts, well we expect that given its the usual TOP-60 who qualify for this but there's one player I'm keen to be onside with this week and that's Aaron Rai who took out the Scottish Open the week after almost winning at Galgorm Castle. He was 3rd at Fairmont St. Andrews later that same month before taking a well deserved break before reappearing last week in Dubai on the neighbouring Fire Course for a lowly 50th placing. Having shaken off the cobwebs and settled in for the week, the Englishman has found his comfort zone on the Europeantour and will surely make his intent known for the season ahead and go in search of climbing into the World's TOP-50. Course form though is a slight put-off, but we have a much improved player now and one that should find this course to his liking despite his apparent lack of distance off the tee. Very apt in bogey avoidance this year and his approach game has been very strong, if he can hole his share of putts and put in an improved performance on the greens he could go very well @ 66/1 with 7 places a begging.

Winner at Valderrama and the aforementioned Galgorm Castle this year, John Catlin has made huge inroads in his touring like and he sees himself here this week as a rank outsider. Winning the Irish Open as well as at Valderrama shows his potential and given that he's won plenty on the Asian Tour, the American won't be fazed this week. Afterall, he won on debut in Ballymena and won at Valderrama having missed the cut on his previous visit. Like Rai, he may lack off the tee but he's similar in that he is accurate and does hole more putts; at least this season anyway. He's a bit of value in my book @ 125/1 with the 7 places on offer

Lastly, I will keep Wil Besseling on the staking plan this week despite there being a risk of fatigue with the Dutchman. 8 TOP-20s from his 19 starts this year assures us he's had a good season having been promoted from the Challenge Tour. No other reason than to stick with him one last time for the season finale in the hope that he clicks @ 150/1 - 7 places. 

I was tempted by Martin Kaymer this week but the 40s on offer seemed to hold the last 3 days which is a fair price. He's definitely one to watch in-play for me.


0.75 pts e/w A. Rai @ 66/1 - 7 places
0.75 pts e/w J. Catlin @ 125/1 - 7 places
0.25 pts e/w W. Besseling @ 150/1 - 7 places

Wednesday, 2 December 2020

Mayakoba Classic 2020 - El Chameleon GC, Mexico

 4 selections for me this week and again it's a case of simply keeping the faith with players I've backed of late,who have performed well and can do so again and hopefully bring some profit in.

Chez Rescue is added to the stable due to solid course form here as too is Joel Dahmen. They join Chris Kirk and Joaquin Niemann for the week ahead where tidy accurate play will prevail.


1 PT e/w J. Niemann @ 40/1 - 6 places

1 PT e/w J. Dahmen @ 66/1 - 8 places

 1 PT e/w C. Reavie @ 60/1 - 8 places

0.50 PTS e/w C. Kirk @ 100/1 - 8 places 

Tuesday, 1 December 2020

Golf in Dubai Championship 2020 - Jumeirah Estate Golf Resort

 Dubai hosts the final two events of the European Tour and we have a Wednesday start for this event to be played at the resort on the Fire Course ahead of next week's finale to be played on the Earth Course. 

I'm backing three players for this,one who has been part of a few staking plans this season and who I feel has had decent results without really clinching the one that would make his season complete and that is Wil Besseling. Three TOP-20s from his last 4 starts shows he's in fine form and the Fire Course should be to his liking here to continue a run of good results. 

I'm also going back in on Alexander Bjork who will probably be glad to see the end of the season and look forward to the new one but his game is not that far away and he's my idea of a player under the radar this week. The Swede has UAE as well as extended Middle East form when finishing 6th at the Qatar Masters earlier this year and 12th at the Earth Course twelve months ago. He is a lively contender @ 66/1 (60/1 7 places)

Finally, a bit of a stab with my final selection in the shape of Clement Sordet but I was close to putting him up in a few tournaments year but decided to keep an eye, but it's been a disappointing season so far for the Frenchman. However, I'm hoping he might be motivated this week for his Dubai challenge as he has form in neighbouring Oman and his game like Bjork,is improving. 

I'll be back tomorrow with my Mayakoba Classic picks but I will not be getting involved in the South African Open.


1 PT e/w W. Besseling @  50/1 - 7 places

1 PT e/w A. Bjork @ 60/1 - 7 places

0.50 PTS e/w C. Sordet @ 200/1 - 8 places