Tuesday 27 February 2024

HSBC Womens World Championship 2024 - Sentosa Golf Club - Tanjong Course

Selections


1 pt e/w L. Maguire @ 45/1 - 6 places
.5 pt e/w C. Wannasaen @ 175/1 - 6 places

Cognizant Classic in Palm Beaches (The Honda Classic) 2024 - PGA National

 Selections


1 pt e/w B. Hossler @ 45/1 - 10 places
1 pt e/w R. Fowler @ 66/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w A. Bhatia @ 70/1 - 8 places
0.5 pts e/w C. Kim @ 150/1 - 8 places

SDC Championship 2024 - St. Francis Links, Eastern Cape, South Africa

 Selections


1 pt e/w U. Coussaud @ 60/1 - 7 places
1 pt e/w J. Schaper @ 30/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w A. Rozner @ 25/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w R. Van Velzen @ 50/1 - 7 places

117 Argentina Open (KFT) - OLIVOS GOLF CLUB, Buenos Aires

 Selections

1 pt e/w Ricky Castillo @ 35/1 - 6 places
1 pt e/w T. Widing @ 40/1 - 6 places

Wednesday 21 February 2024

Honda LPGA Thailand 2024 - Siam Country Club (Pattaya Old Course) - Chon Buri, Thailand

 Selections


1 pt e/w C.Knight @ 33/1 - 6 places
1 pt e/w A. Furue @ 28/1 - 6 places
1 pt e/w L.Maguire @ 33/1 - 6 places
.5 pt e/w C. Wannasaen @125/1 - 6 places

Tuesday 20 February 2024

Mexico Open 2024 - Vidanta Vallarta

 Selections

1 pt e/w T. Pendrith @ 28/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w V. Norrman @ 60/1 - 10 places 
1 pt e/w J. Bramlett @ 80/1 - 8 places
.5 pt e/w V.Perez @80/1 - 10 places
.5 pt e/w N.Xiong @ 1701/ - 10 places

Monday 19 February 2024

Kenya Open 2024 - Muthaiga GC, Nairobi

Selections

1.5 pts E/W M. Kawamura @ 40/1 - 7 places
1 pt E/W N. Elvira @ 50/1 - 7 places
1 pt E/W J. Brun @ 66/1 - 7 places
1.5 pts E/W A. Cockerill @ 33/1 - 7 places
.5 pts E/W J. Wang @ 150/1 - 8 places 


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* Update Wednesday @ 17:30 (GMT)


PlayerMy ShortlistBET365 OddsBest OddsBest ExchangeMy Odds
Thriston LawrenceCourse151715.717
Ewen FergusonMulti171916.221
Rikuya HoshinoCurrent Form191715.723
Alex FitzpatrickStats23232926
Frederic LacroixCurrent Form23262529
Jesper SvenssonCurrent Form29292641
Aaron CockerillMulti34363934
Connor SymeMulti36363536
John CatlinMulti36413546
Guido MigliozziMulti41464141
Masahiro KawamuraMulti46512341
Shubhankar SharmaMulti61616491
Nacho ElviraMulti51615481
Ashun WuCourse61675981
Julien BrunCourse67616461
Renato ParatoreCurrent Form67716981
Santiago TarrioCourse919188111
Lukas NemeczCourse12612612.3111
Jamie DonaldsonMulti126126127101
Marcus KinhultPrice1011119891
Hurly LongCourse15115117.2111
JeungHun WangMulti17617619681
Joel GirrbachCurrent Form151176147151
Craig HowieCourse151176147201

From my shortlist and final review I have had a niggly feeling about Connor Syme and noticed not just the Scotsman, but also Thriston Lawrence, Alex Fitzpatrick, Guido Migliozzi, John Catlin as well as Shubhankar Sharma all have relative course associated form that requires a second look. 

Lawrence was 2nd here 2 years ago to Ashun Wu (tying with our pick Cockerill & Hurly Long) but he also has showed up at Crans-sur-Sierre, winning the European Masters in 2022 and posting a T-10 at Valderrama last year, both courses with very relative form-lines to Muthaiga GC. 

Sharma has shown up at  Fanling (twice) & Wentworth, two courses that have seen winners of both this and the respective events.

Syme has shown up at Valderrama, Wentworth & Crans in the past couple of seasons and he's been backed by me only recently as well so perhaps jumpring ship this week is not a good idea. He was 3rd here in 2021 and hasn't missed a cut in his last 10 tournaments. He's now a best price @ 30/1 - 6 places / 28/1 - 7 places but perhaps a back bet on the exchange @ 42.00 / TOP-10 @ 5.30 is a better option.

Alex Fitzpatrick has followed his brother at Crans posting a T-5 there last year as well as posting some recent good form but Guido Migliozzi catches the eye with form at Crans & Valderrama whilst he won the Kenya Open at nearby Karen GC so should be hopeful of a good week here. He's best price now of 35/1 - 6 places / 30/1 - 8 places and also 42.00 / 5.40 on the exchange

Thursday 15 February 2024

Genesis Invitational 2024 - Riviera GC, Los Angeles

Selections


2 pts e/w V.Hovland @ 16/1 - 7 places
1 pt e/w C.Young @ 33/1 - 7 places
.5 pt e/w S. Ryder @ 300/1 - 7 places

Tuesday 6 February 2024

Qatar Masters 2024 - Doha GC, Qatar

 Selections


1.5 pts e/w Pablo Larrazabal @ 40/1 - 7 places
1.5 pts e/w Frederic Lacroix @ 28/1 - 7 places
1.5 pts e/w Jorge Campillo @ 45/1 - 7 places
0.5 pts e/w Marcus Kinhult @ 150/1 - 7 places

Those on the shortlist who are left off the staking plan: Rozner- Ferguson - Hillier - Cockerill - Schaper - Otaegui - Winther (may regret leaving out) - Lorenzo-Vera - Cabrera-Bello -Hoshino

Phoenix Open 2024 - TPC Scottsdale, Phoenix Arizona

 It's now 176 selections since the last winner (Lucas Herbert @ ISPS Handa Championship) for the blog and the last 2 weeks have summed it up really! It's getting to be quite frustrating. I was delighted the final round was cancelled at Pebble as all 3 players played themselves out of it on Saturday....yet again ! Connor Syme went in reverse Saturday also when seemingly playing well...and to make matters worse, Frittelli was on the shortlist. So was Clark !

I looked at win only and TOP-10/TOP-20 a few years ago and it's now back on the agenda if I should go this way again, but I got the staking plan totally wrong the last time. Will keep as it is now until end of February before deciding if I will change approach.

I'll soldier on so....


Selections



 3 pts e/w Justin Thomas @ 10/1 - 8 places
1.5 pts e/w Hideki Matsuyama @ 33/1 - 8 places
1.5 pts e/w Rickie Fowler @ 55/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w Taylor Montgomery @ 100/1 - 8 places