One selection so far as I like the price.
1 pt e/w M. Lorenzo-Vera @90/1 - 8 places
More to follow
One selection so far as I like the price.
1 pt e/w M. Lorenzo-Vera @90/1 - 8 places
More to follow
3 players that are in form and have some decent value in their prices
1 pt e/w Jesper Svensson @ 40/1 - 5 places (won last week in The Netherlands)
1 pt e/w Cole Madey @ 60/1 - 5 places (5th & 9th this month on The Challenge Tour)
1 pt e/w Nicolai Kristensen @ 80/1 - 5 places (mc-12-21 last 3 starts but plays well in his homeland)Just the selections this week as I continue to monitor the value within the DP Tour this year. As per the first post of the year, 2023 may see a need to start looking more at the KFT, Challenge and LPGA tours going forward whilst the PGA Tour is being added to the blog more often of late.
P&L not great at the moment with the balance for 2023 showing loss of -18.90 pts so with plenty of tournaments to get stuck into between now & September, there will be more "selections only" posts instead of previews.
My Shortlist | BET365 Odds | Best Odds | Best Exchange | My Odds |
Adrian Meronk | 13 | 13 | 15.2 | 15 |
Rasmus Hojgaard | 26 | 26 | 33 | 29 |
Jordan Smith | 23 | 23 | 25 | 26 |
Alexander Bjork | 23 | 23 | 26 | 23 |
Antoine Rozner | 29 | 29 | 35 | 31 |
Joost Luiten | 36 | 41 | 54 | 41 |
Richard Mansell | 41 | 41 | 64 | 36 |
Eddie Pepperell | 41 | 46 | 54 | 41 |
Marcus Helligkilde | 36 | 36 | 49 | 36 |
Maximilian Kieffer | 56 | 56 | 63 | 56 |
Pablo Larrazabal | 56 | 61 | 74 | 61 |
Ewen Ferguson | 51 | 51 | 64 | 51 |
Jayden Schaper | 71 | 81 | 83 | 67 |
Guido Migliozzi | 51 | 51 | 59 | 81 |
Ryo Hisatsune | 56 | 61 | 74 | 67 |
Marcel Siem | 76 | 81 | 108 | 81 |
Alex Fitzpatrick | 81 | 81 | 98 | 91 |
Kalle Samooja | 101 | 111 | 147 | 91 |
Dale Whitnell | 111 | 151 | 240 | 151 |
Brandon Stone | 101 | 101 | 118 | 91 |
David Horsey | 226 | 201 | 363 | 176 |
From the 20-man shortlist I finalized the staking plan as per below
Just selections this week from my final 21-man shortlist. Not often I've been on most of these but ball strikers and a strong driving game required by the looks of things for Oak Hill GC, which looks to be an awesome course!
PGA Stats 2023 | ||||||||
My Shortlist | Bet365 odds | Best Odds | Best Exchange | My Odds | Value (Y/N) | Total Driving | SG:T2G | SG:APR |
Jon Rahm | 8.5 | 9 | 9.04 | 10 | NO | 6 | 2 | 3 |
Scottie Scheffler | 8.5 | 9 | 8.88 | 11 | NO | 3 | 1 | 6 |
Patrick Cantlay | 19 | 21 | 22 | 17 | YES | 2 | 8 | 43 |
Xander Schauffele | 17 | 19 | 21 | 17 | YES | 84 | 7 | 5 |
Tony Finau | 23 | 23 | 26 | 21 | YES | 17 | 3 | 1 |
Viktor Hovland | 29 | 31 | 34 | 26 | YES | 4 | 18 | 18 |
Matt Fitzpatrick | 31 | 34 | 40 | 31 | YES | 24 | 46 | 142 |
Collin Morikawa | 34 | 34 | 40 | 31 | YES | 32 | 5 | 4 |
Max Homa | 41 | 41 | 53 | 34 | YES | 22 | 13 | 9 |
Sungjae Im | 34 | 36 | 38 | 36 | NO | 18 | 14 | 60 |
Jason Day | 26 | 29 | 32 | 36 | NO | 15 | 12 | 16 |
Sam Burns | 46 | 51 | 53 | 41 | YES | 21 | 109 | 168 |
Tyrrell Hatton | 36 | 41 | 45 | 41 | NO | 9 | 6 | 11 |
Tom Kim | 81 | 81 | 124 | 51 | YES | 13 | 15 | 14 |
Shane Lowry | 67 | 76 | 106 | 67 | YES | 7 | 25 | 30 |
Rickie Fowler | 61 | 71 | 74 | 91 | NO | 31 | 16 | 7 |
Gary Woodland | 81 | 101 | 118 | 101 | NO | 12 | 22 | 10 |
Si Woo Kim | 81 | 81 | 108 | 126 | NO | 24 | 19 | 25 |
Tom Hoge | 201 | 201 | 451 | 151 | YES | 42 | 38 | 2 |
Keith Mitchell | 176 | 176 | 343 | 176 | NO | 1 | 42 | 148 |
Brendan Steele | 301 | 301 | 608 | 451 | NO | 11 | 20 | 12 |
Frustrating weekend in Italy last week when Yannik Paul went into reverse when the course setup changed to suit the bombers. He may very go well here this week but with a putting performance on display the opening two rounds that I saw, he won't be on my stable at the odds available this week.
My Shortlist | BET365 Odds | Best Odds | Best Exchange | My Odds |
Thorbjorn Olesen | 21 | 21 | 23 | 19 |
Jorge Campillo | 21 | 19 | 19.6 | 26 |
Alexander Bjork | 17 | 17 | 21 | 29 |
Adrian Otaegui | 17 | 17 | 21 | 26 |
Ewen Ferguson | 41 | 41 | 49 | 46 |
Oliver Bekker | 61 | 76 | 108 | 61 |
Fabrizio Zanotti | 51 | 51 | 64 | 61 |
Maximilian Kieffer | 31 | 34 | 43 | 56 |
Masahiro Kawamura | 61 | 67 | 64 | 67 |
Daniel van Tonder | 61 | 67 | 68 | 67 |
Jeung Hun Wang | 81 | 81 | 96 | 67 |
Aaron Cockerill | 41 | 46 | 59 | 67 |
Alejandro Del Rey | 126 | 126 | 176 | 101 |
Sean Crocker | 126 | 151 | 196 | 151 |
Alejandro Canizares | 125 | 151 | 182 | 101 |
JC Ritchie | 101 | 111 | 167 | 126 |
Just the selections from my 15-man shortlist and it would have been more but prices have been slashed since Monday on a couple of them, especially Max Kieffer who I was quite keen on but seriously, 33/1 ?? Adrian Otaegui I can understand as he won the Knockout tournament here and was solid last year too in finishing 15th but I can't justify 16s now. Ferguson has dipped in form of late but I do think he is the sort of player that can simply show up any given week and Rinkven will be suitable (lowly 58th last year though) and @ 40s though he too needs to be passed up. It's not an overly strong field (Detry & Bjork vying for market leader!) so I'm hoping Thorbjorn Olesen's run last week has shaken off the rust as he failed to post a t-20 for the first time this season and he's worth taking @ 20/1 - 8 places
I'll side once again with Jeung Hun Wang this week at the price 70/1 - 8 places and I'll be interested to see how 40yr old Alejandro Canizares goes given he's been in fine form this year posting 3 T-20s from his 6 starts, a best finish 4th at The Australian Open whilst his compatriot, Alejandro Del Rey is still to find the consistency that his game definitely has to convert to results but @ 90/1 - 8 places thought was worth another interest.