Monday 29 May 2023

European Open 2023

 One selection so far as I like the price.


1 pt e/w M. Lorenzo-Vera @90/1 - 8 places


More to follow 

Tuesday 23 May 2023

Copenhagen Challenge 2023 - Royal Golf Club, Copenhagen, Denmark

 3 players that are in form and have some decent value in their prices


Selections

1 pt e/w Jesper Svensson @ 40/1 - 5 places (won last week in The Netherlands)

1 pt e/w Cole Madey @ 60/1 - 5 places (5th & 9th this month on The Challenge Tour)

1 pt e/w Nicolai Kristensen @ 80/1 - 5 places (mc-12-21 last 3 starts but plays well in his homeland)

Dutch Open 2023 - Bernardus GC

 Just the selections this week as I continue to monitor the value within the DP Tour this year. As per the first post of the year, 2023 may see a need to start looking more at the KFT, Challenge and LPGA tours going forward whilst the PGA Tour is being added to the blog more often of late. 

P&L not great at the moment with the balance for 2023 showing loss of -18.90 pts so with plenty of tournaments to get stuck into between now & September, there will be more "selections only" posts instead of previews. 

My ShortlistBET365 OddsBest OddsBest ExchangeMy Odds
Adrian Meronk131315.215
Rasmus Hojgaard26263329
Jordan Smith23232526
Alexander Bjork23232623
Antoine Rozner29293531
Joost Luiten36415441
Richard Mansell41416436
Eddie Pepperell41465441
Marcus Helligkilde36364936
Maximilian Kieffer56566356
Pablo Larrazabal56617461
Ewen Ferguson51516451
Jayden Schaper71818367
Guido Migliozzi51515981
Ryo Hisatsune56617467
Marcel Siem768110881
Alex Fitzpatrick81819891
Kalle Samooja10111114791
Dale Whitnell111151240151
Brandon Stone10110111891
David Horsey226201363176

From the 20-man shortlist I finalized the staking plan as per below


Selections


1.25 pts e/w R.Mansell @ 40/1 - 8 places
1.25 pts e/w E. Ferguson @ 50/1 - 8 places
2 pts e/w J. Schaper @ 70/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w K. Samooja @ 100/1 - 8 places


Wednesday 17 May 2023

PGA Championship 2023 - Oak Hill, Rochester

 Just selections this week from my final 21-man shortlist. Not often I've been on most of these but ball strikers and a strong driving game required by the looks of things for Oak Hill GC, which looks to be an awesome course!

PGA Stats 2023
My ShortlistBet365 oddsBest OddsBest ExchangeMy OddsValue (Y/N)Total DrivingSG:T2GSG:APR
Jon Rahm8.599.0410NO623
Scottie Scheffler8.598.8811NO316
Patrick Cantlay19212217YES2843
Xander Schauffele17192117YES8475
Tony Finau23232621YES1731
Viktor Hovland29313426YES41818
Matt Fitzpatrick31344031YES2446142
Collin Morikawa34344031YES3254
Max Homa41415334YES22139
Sungjae Im34363836NO181460
Jason Day26293236NO151216
Sam Burns46515341YES21109168
Tyrrell Hatton36414541NO9611
Tom Kim818112451YES131514
Shane Lowry677610667YES72530
Rickie Fowler61717491NO31167
Gary Woodland81101118101NO122210
Si Woo Kim8181108126NO241925
Tom Hoge201201451151YES42382
Keith Mitchell176176343176NO142148
Brendan Steele301301608451NO112012


Selections:

2 pts e/w P. Cantlay @ 20/1 - 8 places
1.25 pts e/w M. Homa @ 40/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w S. Lowry @ 80/1 - 8 places
.50 pts e/w K. Mitchell @ 175/1 - 8 places
2 pts e/w T. Finau @ 22/1 - 8 places
2 pts e/w X. Schauffele @ 18/1 - 8 places

Wednesday 10 May 2023

Soudal Open 2023 - Rinkven International GC, Antwerp

 Frustrating weekend in Italy last week when Yannik Paul went into reverse when the course setup changed to suit the bombers. He may very go well here this week but with a putting performance on display the opening two rounds that I saw, he won't be on my stable at the odds available this week.

My ShortlistBET365 OddsBest OddsBest ExchangeMy Odds
Thorbjorn Olesen21212319
Jorge Campillo211919.626
Alexander Bjork17172129
Adrian Otaegui17172126
Ewen Ferguson41414946
Oliver Bekker617610861
Fabrizio Zanotti51516461
Maximilian Kieffer31344356
Masahiro Kawamura61676467
Daniel van Tonder61676867
Jeung Hun Wang81819667
Aaron Cockerill41465967
Alejandro Del Rey126126176101
Sean Crocker126151196151
Alejandro Canizares125151182101
JC Ritchie101111167126

Just the selections from my 15-man shortlist and it would have been more but prices have been slashed since Monday on a couple of them, especially Max Kieffer who I was quite keen on but seriously, 33/1 ?? Adrian Otaegui I can understand as he won the Knockout tournament here and was solid last year too in finishing 15th but I can't justify 16s now. Ferguson has dipped in form of late but I do think he is the sort of player that can simply show up any given week and Rinkven will be suitable (lowly 58th last year though) and @ 40s though he too needs to be passed up. It's not an overly strong field (Detry & Bjork vying for market leader!) so I'm hoping Thorbjorn Olesen's run last week has shaken off the rust as he failed to post a t-20 for the first time this season and he's worth taking @ 20/1 - 8 places

I'll side once again with Jeung Hun Wang this week at the price 70/1 - 8 places and I'll be interested to see how 40yr old Alejandro Canizares goes given he's been in fine form this year posting 3 T-20s from his 6 starts, a best finish 4th at The Australian Open whilst his compatriot, Alejandro Del Rey is still to find the consistency that his game definitely has to convert to results but @ 90/1 - 8 places thought was worth another interest.


Selections

2.5 pt e/w T. Olesen @ 20/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w J.H. Wang @ 70/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w A. Canizares @ 125/1  - 8 places
1 pt e/w A. Del Rey @ 90/1