Wednesday 22 February 2023

Honda Classic 2023 - PGA National, Palm Beach Florida

I may have priced this event totally wrong as my prices are way out of sync with the market. Perhaps that presents value but I'm really struggling with it. This isn't a great field and one player that I'm totally out of kilter with appears to be Harris English. Taking the quality of the field into account, I still don't get how he's only 35/1 best price. Perhaps he is a 35/1 shot especially if Thomas Detry is the same price! But at that price I'd much prefer Taylor Pendrith please ! 25th on debut here twelve months ago and despite a stop-stsrt to the current season I think the Canadian can kickstart the season here this week. He has one T-10 from his 8 starts and that came just 2 starts ago at the AT&T whilst he posted a T-15 at Hilton Head. He's worth a play here.

Genuinely was interested in Denny McCarthy here but I'm aghast at best odds of 25/1!! Do I need to give this game up ?  On a serious note, I really considered sitting this event out. The LPGA had a competitive field this week but I can't really take a third week looking at scores during the night as it's tour descends on Thailand.  For what it's worth I think Jennifer Kupcho will go well there and I have backed her @ 100/1 !

With a difficult event in India being played on a course that I hate looking at, I'll complete the week's staking plan here in Florida by adding Billy Horschel @ 25/1 - 8 places (22s my tissue) and a speculative hunch that Jason Dufner could surprise all @ 250/1 - 8 places.

Selections
1.5 pts e/w T. Pendrith @35/1 - 8 places
2 pts e/w B. Horschel @ 25/1 - 8 places
0.5 pts e/w J. Dufner @ 250/1 - 8 places 
.75 pts e/w J. Kupcho @ 100/1 - 6 places (LPGA Thailand)

Tuesday 21 February 2023

Indian Open 2023 - DLF CC, New Delhi, India

 Just two selections from my 22-man shortlist below here this week. I hate this course, Eddie Pepperell is correct in his summation that it was designed by Satan! David Horsey was considered but left off at the last moment. 

My ShortlistBET365 OddsBest OddsBest ExchangeMy Odds
Nicolai Hojgaard131315.717
Edoardo Molinari23232629
Jeunghun Wang21212534
Pablo Larrazabal29312734
Marcel Siem34364867
Guido Migliozzi36364436
Gavin Green36414641
David Law51515881
Jorge Campillo36466481
Renato Paratore46518881
Alexander Knappe56616481
Marcus Armitage51619881
Lukas Nemecz71679691
Adrien Saddier677191111
Alex Fitzpatrick7181167151
Shaun Norris81111173201
Francesco Laporta101126182176
Gaganjeet Bhullar12612612791
David Horsey111126225126
Soren Kjeldsen151151225151
Stephen Gallacher101126176151
Alejandro Canizares101201235251


Selections:

1 pt e/w G. Bhullar @ 150/1 - 7 places
1 pt e/w G. Migliozzi @ 40/1 - 7 places


Wednesday 15 February 2023

Thailand Classic 2023 - Amata Spring CC, Bangkok Thailand

Just the selections for Thailand below

1 pt e/w G. Migliozzi @ 55/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w K. Higa @ 60/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w A. Del Rey @ 125/1 - 8 places

Tuesday 14 February 2023

Genesis Invitational 2023 - Riviera GC, Los Angeles

 Tiger Woods all but ended his career during his hosting of this tournament 2 years ago when seriously injured in a car crash but he sensationall announced he will return to competitive golf here this week having not played since The Open last summer. We surely don't expect him to complete 4 rounds here this week as he prepares most likely for his next tournament at Augusta.

It's a brilliant field again this week where it will be tough to get the market leaders beat but I've gone with the 4 players from my final 22-man shortlist below who I think could put a solid tournament together !

My ShortlistBet365 odds (less places)Best OddsBest ExchangeMy Odds
Scottie Scheffler111113.713
Xander Schauffele191719.617
Tony Finau19192223
Collin Morikawa23212526
Max Homa21212429
Sam Burns31293434
Viktor Hovland29263234
Jordan Spieth36344341
Tyrrell Hatton46466951
Adam Scott56616851
Justin Rose46718871
Alex Noren9110118691
Adam Hadwin91111196111
Nick Taylor101101147151
Beau Hossler126151265201
Patrick Rodgers126176245226
Francesco Molinari176251421226
Sam Ryder176251284226
Joel Dahmen141251363251
Luke List226251421251
James Hahn226301353251
Chez Reavie301501294401


Selections

1.5 pts e/w C. Morikawa @ 22/1 - 8 places
1.5 pts e/w S. Burns @ 28/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w A. Scott @ 60/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w J. Dahmen @ 250/1 - 10 places


Wednesday 8 February 2023

Data Dimension Pro-Am 2023 - Montague,Outeniqua & The Links, Fancourt

Just the one selection for me here and a player I backed recently at The Joburg Open. Martin Vorster won't be 50s for much longer on either the Sunshine or Challenge tours.

Selection
1 pt e/w M. Vorster @ 50/1 - 6 places 

Phoenix Open 2023 - TPC Scottsdale, Arizona

 Very hard to see past the top of the market here but I've played the following from my 18-man shortlist


My ShortlistBet365 odds (less places)Best OddsBest ExchangeMy Odds
Jon Rahm999.439
Scottie Scheffler151315.414
Xander Schauffele171718.617
Patrick Cantlay21212517
Tony Finau19212323
Justin Thomas21212521
Max Homa23232829
Sungjae Im26292934
Tom Kim31313434
Hideki Matsuyama31313836
Viktor Hovland34314036
Sam Burns51466341
Jason Day56677351
Rickie Fowler67567351
Shane Lowry718111667
Billy Horschel769117381
Taylor Pendrith111126250111
Patrick Rodgers201301539251


Selections


2 pt e/w P. Cantlay @ 20/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w T.Pendrith @ 110/1 - 8 places
0.5 pts e/w P. Rodgers @ 190/1 - 8 places