Wednesday 31 January 2024

SDC Open & Panama Championship 2024 - Challenge Tour/Korn Ferry Tour

 Selections

SDC Open, Challenge Tour

0.5 pt e/w D. Mostert @ 70/1 - 6 places
0.5 pt e/w B. Akesson @66/1 - 6 places 

Panama Championship

1 pt e/w M. McGreevy @ 50/1 - 6 places
.75 pts e/w R. Streb @ 66/1 - 6 places

Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2024 - Pebble Beach & Spyglass GC, California, USA

 Selections


1 pt e/w M. Fitzpatrick @ 30/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w T. Fleetwood @ 30/1 - 8 places
.75 pts e/w R. Fowler  @ 90/1 - 8 places

Tuesday 30 January 2024

Bahrain Championship 2024 - Royal GC, Kingdom of Bahrain, Bahrain

 Selections

1 pt e/w C. Syme @ 50/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w M. Siem @ 60/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w R. Paratore @ 75/1 - 8 places

Tuesday 23 January 2024

Ras Al Khaimah Championship 2024 - Al Hamra GC, UAE

 Selections


1.5 pts e/w T. Lawrence @ 25/1 - 6 places
1 pt e/w J. Guerrier @ 45/1 - 6 places
1 pt e/w P. Larrazabal @ 45/1 - 7 places
1 pt e/w P. Waring @ 75/1 - 8 places

Farmers Insurance Open 2024 - Torrey Pines GC (North & South), California

 Selections

1.5 pts e/w T. Finau @ 25/1 - 8 places
1.25 pts e/w S.Theegala @ 28/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w S.Ryder @ 125/1 - 8 places
0.5 pt e/w L.Griffin @ 250/1 - 8 places
0.5 pt e/w N.Xiong @ 500/1 - 8 places 

Tuesday 16 January 2024

Dubai Desert Classic 2024 - Emirates GC, Dubai, UAE

 

It's 5 years since I walked the course during the Dubai Desert Classic when I mostly followed Matt Fitzpatrick with his then new caddy, Billy Foster so it's an event thats always been one of my favourites.

Thomas Pieters was a bit erratic that day trying to cut the dog-legs but if a player is driving well off the tee and finding fairways he will thrive here and that leads to me my first selection this week when I once again turn my attention to Thorbjorn Olesen who kick started 2024 with yet another top-10 last week to backup his form of 2023! With Rory looking to put last week's "flop" behind him very quickly at a course he knows a lot better than last week's , it gives us a little value @ 28/1 with the 8 places abegging. The Dane put in a top-20 SG:APR performance last week but it was his putter that shone particularly well and I'm happy to side with him again here.


I'll also stick with one of last week's picks, Ewen Ferguson @ 60/1 - 8 places. Hes continuing good recent form where he demonstrated a strong T2G up the road and he can vastly improves on his 28th finish twelve months ago


My ShortlistBET365 OddsBest OddsBest ExchangeMy Odds
Rory McIlroy4.334.334.435
Tyrrell Hatton111112.39
Tommy Fleetwood121112.39
Adrian Meronk26262823
Joaquin Niemann19212526
Thorbjorn Olesen29293126
Ryan Fox34344329
Ewen Ferguson67676956
Romain Langasque71718371
Jayden Schaper126101127111
Paul Waring126151147111
Bernd Wiesberger126126167111
Kalle Samooja151126176111
Daniel Hillier126151167111
Pablo Larrazabal176151186151

My 15-man shortlist

Also adding kiwi, Daniel Hillier & Austrian Bernd Weisberger to the staking plan with the latter chances to put his "LIV episode" behind him and and re-establish himself as a fully fledged DPT player. He may or may not be rusty, there appeared to be some merit in the LIV golfers performing a lot fresher than others last year, so @ 80/1 - 8 places thought it was too good a price to pass on. Hillier is chanced @ 110/1 - 8 places


Selections

1.75 pts e/w T. Olesen      @ 28/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w E.Ferguson          @ 60/1 - 8 places
.75 pts e/w B. Weisberger @ 80/1 - 8 places
.75 pts e/w . D. Hillier      @ 110/1 - 8 places 



Wednesday 10 January 2024

Dubai International 2024 - Dubai Creek Resort, Dubai, UAE

 Just 7 players made my shortlist for this inaugural event in Dubai as I look get Rory beat.


My ShortlistBET365 OddsBest OddsBest ExchangeMy Odds
Adrian Meronk15162113
Ryan Fox17191917
Thriston Lawrence34343429
Marcel Siem51517846
Ewen Ferguson46415441
Connor Syme61675161
Jeff Winther91677161


I settled on 3 to play as per selections below

Selections

2.5 pts e/w A. Meronk @ 16/1 - 6 places
1.5 pts e/w M. Siem    @  50/1 - 6 places
2.5 pts e/w E. Ferguson @ 40/1 - 6 places


Sony Open 2024 - WAIALAE COUNTRY CLUB, HONOLULU, HAWAII

 The blog's last outright winner came here twelve months ago when Si Woo Kim took the title @ 40/1.

My ShortlistBet365 odds (less places)Best OddsBest ExchangeMy Odds
Brian Harman21232321
Corey Conners26262623
Chris Kirk29292926
Hideki Matsuyama46464641
Keith Mitchell81919181
Gary Woodland126126126111
Ryan Palmer126151151111
Hayden Buckley151151151111
Zach Johnson301351351301
Kevin Kisner226351351251
Norman Xiong2501351351201

From my 11-man shortlist (Norman Xiong finally added to bookies website this morning), just 4 of them played last week at The Sentry. 36 players in total played last week that tee it up here at Waialae CC.

It looks a fairly open contest this week where a putting performance looks to be the main win criteria but I'm going with the following;


Selections

2.5 pts e/w B. Harman @ 20/1   - 8 places
2.5 pts e/w C. Conners @ 20/1   - 8 places
.50 pts e/w H. Buckley @ 150/1 - 8 places
.50 pts e/w N. Xiong    @ 300/1 - 8 places

Wednesday 3 January 2024

Sentry Tournament of Champions 2024 - Kapalua Hawaii

Apparently this tournament has a new name.

 Formerly the Sentry Tournament of Champions, the field of 59 players, the largest in history, consists of winners from 2023 and any players who advanced to the BMW Championship last August. 

It's now known as The Sentry ! ?? 

Last year was one of the worst for this blog for P&L and the tale off 2023 started here this time last year when Collin Morikawa blew a 6 shot lead to lose it to Scottie Scheffler. But I'm happy to side with Morikawa this week at 14/1 as well as an early play on Tony Finau, who I think could be in for a memorable 2024, @ 28/1 - 6 places.

Selections

 2.5 pts E/W C. Morikawa @ 14/1 - 6 places
1.5 pts E/W T. Finau @ 28/1 - 6 places