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Wednesday, 28 September 2011

Alfred Dunhill Links 2011

The popular pro-am format takes place this week over the 3 courses, St Andrews, Carnoustie & Kingsbarns. This blog backed last years winner, Martin Kaymer and recent results for the blog have produced this years winners for successful events last year. Let's hope that trend continues so. Three rounds will be played before the cut and the weather forecast is good, it's fantastic here at the moment and set to continue so I am relying on very good scoring this week which will help Rory McIlroy. But I won't be backing him at 10/1, even more so as "Wozzilroy" hits twitter world.....just can't take to these celeb couples touting themselves in a different light....so I've gone off our own lad for the time being, not that this is the reason not to back him...the odds are not great value in such a big field of this format. There is value down the field and first up is my old faithful, Ross Fisher. Excellent tournament form, plays well in these conditions and is the sort that can handle the format and the 6 hours each of the 3 days. Recent outings suggest Ross is getting back into form, will feel much better that his daughter is well again after a scare when in Ireland and will be nice & fresh. Real big chance this week at 40/1 with Paddypower

Second up is a player that I won't normally put up due to his inconsistency but Pablo Larrazabal has shown good form during the summer and he may relish the conditions this week. He tweeted during the week that he couldn't wait to play and he is a good e/w value at 6 places on offer with Boylesports. The Spaniard can challenge if he gets a decent start despite playing the hardest course tomorrow in Carnoustie. If he gets decent round under his belt he can build on that for rest of the week.

My final selection is Charl Schwartzel who plays alongside fellow compatriot Louis Oosthuizen at Kingbarns in rd 1. The All South African affair will create a decent 4ball and should act as a catalyst to an opening score on which to establish his intentions. Very generous odds of 28/1 with Paddypower who are also paying 6 places cannot be ignored.

TIP 1: 1 pt e/w R.Fisher @ 40/1

TIP 2: 1 pt e/w P.Larrazabal @ 110/1

TIP 3: 1 pt e/w C.Schwartzel @ 28/1

Saturday, 24 September 2011

Luiten to make amends on Sunday

A level par round on Saturday for Joost Luiten meant our threeball bet failed as Thomas Norret bettered his score by 2 shots. On Sunday, the Dutchman will start the final round just 2 back from Norret and alongside Robert Coles again and Victor Dubuisson. Both Coles & Dubuisson have been playing well the past couple of months but so too has Luiten and without appearing to be chasing the loss on Saturday's bet, I firmly believe that Luiten can win the tournament and that means outscoring his playing partners to do so. Goods odds again @ 2.20 with Paddypower

Luiten Joost the Job for Saturday

Joost Luiten is playing really well! He should outscore Norret & Coles today and is taken at 1.80 with Paddypower to do so.

Tuesday, 20 September 2011

Tour Championship 2011

The Fedex Cup concludes this week at East Lake where any number of players can still win the Fedex Cup. The leading 5 though can clinch the win and $11M over the 4 days and that could bring some added pressure to the 5 involved. Jim Furyk won the Cup last year entering this event lying in 11th place so its possible again this year that someone could come through. And this is a scenario that I think could unfold in the shape of Nick Watney! Well in contention at the Deutsche Bank until a horror 11 on the 2nd hole in his final round, he bounced back last week with a 22nd placing. He loves playing Atlanta courses and can shine here this week and take another title for the season. With just 30 players in the field this week the best odds of 16/1 with Paddypower is a super price.

Justin Rose hit form last week and seemed to be hanging on in the final round but that said once he hits a bit of form he seems to hold it for a few weeks and the bookies have acted on this theory also. However, he can win the Fedex if he wins here and the 20/1 with Boylesports on offer to win this event is really good value. He does represent really good each way value and is taken to follow up on last weeks excellent return to form and challenge again.

My third selection is yet another golfer who seems to play his best in Atlanta and almost took the PGA Championship this year. Jason Dufner is a player to watch out for in 2012 and a good bet for the Ryder Cup team and he can produce the goods this week to cap a really good 2011 campaign. Best odds of 50/1 with Bet365 are taken for each way.

TIP 1: 2 pts WIN N.Watney @ 16/1

TIP 2: 1 pt e/w J.Rose @ 20/1

TIP 3: 1 pt e/w J.Dufner @ 50/1

Tuesday, 13 September 2011

BMW Championship

After a weeks break the Fedex Playoffs continue at Cog Hill, Chicago this week where the final 30 will be decided for next weeks Tour Championship. Luke Donald heads the betting which is great news! It means we get decent value on players that are more likely to win than the World's Number 1. I like Luke Donald, he is very consistent but not very consistent at winning. Some players have caught my eye in recent weeks by showing a return to form and this is the right time of year to do so with big prize money at stake. Phil Mickelson is one that will thrive this week having shown good form last week. 25/1 is a price not to be ignored and I fully expect Lefty to challenge this week so that he can finish the season in good style. He is available at those odds with Paddypower Brandt Snedeker produced some fine golf yet again last time out and is probably one of the in-form golfers on tour at the moment. He can produce the goods this week too, drives the ball well and is accurate, the putting has been excellent and is sure to be up there again. 28/1 also available with Paddypower Third selection is Hunter Mahan who has done well in the playoffs every year since it began. Not having the best form during the summer, he does appear to peaking just about now and is a fantastic price at 40/1 with Paddypower which simply cannot be ignored.

TIP 1 1 pt e/w P.Mickelson @ 25/1 Paddypower

TIP 2: 1 pt e/w B.Snedeker @ 28/1 Paddypower

TIP 3: 1 pt e/w H.Mahan @ 40/1 Paddypower

Wednesday, 7 September 2011

KLM Open 2011

After a fantastic result for this blog last week when Martin Kaymer placed in Switzerland and Webb Simpson won in Boston, the bank balance is starting to turn around for the year with a busy 3 months still to run. Last year at the KLM, the blog put up a very confident 4pt win bet on Martin Kaymer @ 12/1 to win, which he duly obliged by 4 shots. He should go well again this year. In fact he could and should have won last week only for that tiddler of a birdie putt on 14 missing, which seemed to affect the birdie putt on 15, he would have got so far ahead that I don't think Bjorn would have reeled in under pressure to do so. But that's the way it goes and I suppose we were fortunate enough that Simpson got into the playoff after Reavie had bogeyed the last. With Westwood & McIlroy joining Kaymer in Holland this week, it makes picking the winner difficult but I have selected three who can go well and could surprise.

Ross Fisher has like kaymer, not had his best year but has shown signs that his best is not far away and the 33/1 with Betpack is a must for me. Can stay patient which is paramount this week as the weather is mixing rain with a lot of wind.

Local hope, Joost Luiten has a very successful year so far and finished well last week. He will be keen to go well this week and is sure to do so and is well worth taking @ 40/1 with Paddypower

Nicolas Colsaerts makes a welcome return to the Tour following his withdrawal at The Open in July due to a freak injury whilst skateboarding. He has taken his time to recover and by all accounts has been back to full strength the past 4 weeks and will be eager to test his competitive ability in Holland only a stone's throw from his native Belgium. Good odds this week, possibly due to the long lay off and the chance that he may be rusty, but the value is there at 55/1 also with Paddypower

TIP 1: 1pt e/w R.Fisher @ 30/1 Betpack

TIP 2: 1 pt e/w J.Luiten @ 40/1 Paddypower

TIP 3: 1pt e/w N.Colsaerts @ 55/1 Paddypower

Thursday, 1 September 2011

Dyson to cleanup on day 2 threeball

Simon Dyson is in great form. He shot a 66 on day 1 at Crans Sur Sierre to lie just 3 off the lead. No bogeys on the card too. He plays alongside Monty & Jeev Milka Singh again tomorrow who shot 76 & 67, the latter only one shot off the Englishman and obviously the only challenge to Dyson tomorrow (sorry Monty). With an offer of 2.00 with Bodog Sportsbook it has to be taken as he is in great form. The Indian is also in good form lately and is not being taken for granted but the value & odds lie with the recent Irish Open winner and our 1 pt investment lies with him despite being tempted to back Martin Kaymer @ 2.10 with Boylesports to see of Thomas Bjorn & Louis Oosthuizen. As The Dyson matches tees off at 7:10 we should know the result of it before the Kaymer match starts at 12:20, and therefore the Kaymer bet will be placed only if Dyson prevails.