This is an event I do not want to get too involved in as I couldn't complete a tissue at all for it falling way short of forming a proper "book" for me. Some of the players at 20/1 - 40/1 range really are poor value and even taking into account the strength of the field, they are players that I'm not going to consider. Some but not all, Shelton @ 40/1 , Hubbard (and I've backed him a few times already) @ 22/1, Rodgers @ 28/1, Wu & Sigg @ 40 - 45/1 are crazy low prices but the market leader Denny McCarthy has to be a lay @ 16s !! Even the 25.00 on the exchange is low. Imade Seamus Power favourite @ 25/1

Given I couldn't complete a tissue and therefore derive a shortlist, Max gets backed again (I hope the wind doesn't get up) @ 250/1 - 8 places and I had been drawn to possibly taking Russell Knox @ 30/1 - 8 places. In the end, it's just my personal interest in Max and he's added to the blog P&L for this weeks poor quality PGA event

Selection

1 pt e/w M. McGreevy @ 250/1 - 8 places

Portugal Masters 2022 - Dom Pedro GC, Vilamoura, Portugal

 

The frustration continued last week in Mallorca when Yannik Paul captured the title having backed him 4 times this year and as recently as the week before! I've backed him in those 4 events @ 801/, 67/1,67/1 & 33/1 so perhaps the value loser has materialized and I should take heart but the P&L has suffered the past few weeks with all the near misses.He was 25/1 last week and was on my 10-man shortlist along with 3 other players who finished TOP-10 (4/10!) and yet I left empty handed. And maybe I'm going to bring more pain this week as I'm sticking with 2 of the players that I backed last week that finished 9th & 16th and that's Hurly Long & Nicolai Hogaard as well as keeping faith with Marcel Schneider who finished 23rd.

From my 16-man shortlist below I settled on a final 10-man shortlist before finalising the 5 players highlighted in green. Queue the remaining 5 yellow highlighted players for Portuguese success so !

For a recap this season:

• I've backed Hogaard 3 times this year - no return
• I've backed Schneider 4 times this year - 2 placings for +13.50 pts
• I've backed Long 4 times this year - no return
• I've backed Nemecz 2 times this year - no return

My Shortlist	BET365 Odds	Best Odds	Best Exchange	My Odds
Robert MacIntyre	15	15	17.7	15
Victor Perez	19	19	24	19
Antoine Rozner	23	23	26	23
Eddie Pepperell	26	23	36	29
Yannik Paul	23	23	30	26
Nicolai Hojgaard	19	21	23	19
Marcel Schneider	36	41	42	41
Marcus Armitage	41	41	53	56
Mikko Korhonen	61	61	86	101
Tom Lewis	46	51	63	51
Hurly Long	41	41	47	46
Edoardo Molinari	67	56	157	56
Lukas Nemecz	71	71	96	67
Jason Scrivener	81	81	106	126
Ross Fisher	81	81	106	151
Oliver Wilson	101	91	127	176

*edit - Victor Perez is still available @ 18/1 & 20/1 - 5 places but best price with 6&7 places is now 16/1 at time of publishing blog post so Victor is omitted from P&L (I've taken Schneider @ 33s with extra places)

Selections

2 pts e/w N. Hogaard @ 20/1 - 7 places

1.5 pts e/w M.Schneider @ 33/1 - 7 places

1.5 pts e/w H. Long @ 40/1 - 7 places

1 pt e/w L. Nemecz @ 66/1 - 7 places

CJ Cup 2022 - Congaree Golf Club, South Carolina

 The CJ Cup remains on US soil again this year and visits Congaree GC which hosted the Palmetto Championship June 2021. Its a strong field headed by Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler, Justin Thomas, Jon Rahm, Collin Morikawa & Matt Fitzpatrick, 6 of the world's TOP-10, and three reigning Major champions!

I've settled on a 7-man shortlist so probably the winner comes from the other leading contenders from the top echelons of the OWGR rankings but if we are in for a birdie fest then we might just get a run with the staking plan as per below

My Shortlist	Bet365 odds (less places)	Best Odds	Best Exchange	My Odds
Justin Thomas	15	15	18.1	13
Collin Morikawa	31	31	34	21
Sam Burns	23	26	28	26
Cameron Young	31	31	36	26
Tom Kim	29	31	34	29
Tyrrell Hatton	41	41	48	41
Alex Noren	91	91	144	111

Selections

2 pts e/w J. Thomas @ 14/1 - 7 places

1 pt e/w C. Young @ 28/1 - 7 places

1 pt e/w A. Noren @ 90/1 - 7 places

Mallorca Golf Open 2022 - Son Muntaner Golf Club, Palma, Mallorca, Spain

 Approaching this week's event with some trepidation, I've settled on a 10-man shortlist as per below with the selections marked in green making it to the staking plan despite Ryan Fox being of big interest. It's been quiet of late with quite a few selections the past 4 weeks finishing either one or two shots out of placings so hoping the door will open soon with a win.

My Shortlist	BET365 Odds	Best Odds	Best Exchange
Ryan Fox	17	17	17.7
Yannik Paul	26	26	33
Marcel Schneider	36	36	39
Nicolai Hojgaard	31	34	36
Ewen Ferguson	46	51	59
Romain Langasque	46	51	69
Hurly Long	51	56	59
Wilco Nienaber	46	61	83
Jason Scrivener	71	81	108
Lorenzo Gagli	401	501	980

Selections:

1 pt e/w M. Schneider @ 33/1 - 6 places

1 pt e/w N. Hojgaard @ 33/1 - 7 places
1.5 pts e/w H. Long @ 50/1 - 7 places

ZoZo Championship 2022 -

 

The PGA returns to Japan this week for a reduced field, ZoZo Championship to be played once again at the Accordia Golf Narashino CC in Chiba.

Tough market for me to assess this week but I did narrow it down to the shortlist below. However, many of the US-based players appear to be much lower priced by the books than my own tissue ( e.g Grillo,Herbert,Pereira,Stallings & NeSmith to mention a few) that perhaps my tissue is totally wrong this week so it's a cautious play with just three selections, two of which are local Japanese players

My Shortlist	Bet365 odds (less places)	Best Odds	Best Exchange	My Odds
Hideki Matsuyama	12	13	15	13
Tom Kim	15	15	19	19
Cameron Young	17	17	19	21
Viktor Hovland	21	19	22	26
Sahith Theegala	41	41	47	36
Keegan Bradley	29	29	35	36
Mackenzie Hughes	67	51	88	56
Kazuki Higa	151	151	710	111
Tom Hoge	31	34	49	51
Matthew NeSmith	51	61	85	151
Hiroshi Iwata	301	501	980	201

Selections

1.5 pts e/w S.Theegala @ 40/1 - 6 places

0.5 pts e/w K. Higa @ 150/1 - 6 places

0,5 pts e/w H.Iwata @ 500/1 - 6 places

Andalucia Masters 2022 - Valderrama GC,

 

Always a great tournament at Valderrama GC and this year's version shouldn't disappoint as defending and current US Open Champion, Matt Fitzpatrick defends.

The P&L has been hit badly the past few weeks and last week emphasized the frustration when Hennie du Plessis backed for 6 places and Yannik Paul backed for 7 places, finished one shot away and in a tie for 8th! Not to mention Renato Paratore finishing another shot further back---the picks were good, the result should have been better!

Matt Fitzpatrick follows Jon Rahm here this week doesn't he by winning as a hot favourite to do so? Always hard to go back to back of course but if Matt brings his A-game, starts well he will be very hard to beat although he did miss the cut here in 2019. He's definitely worth taking on and last week's gallant pursuer of Rambo, Min Woo Lee has to be confident of a good showing having finished runner-up twelve months ago to Fitzy. Further down the betting order though, I do like the chances of Thorbjorn Olesen,Guidi Migliozzi,Ewen Ferguson, Romain Langasque, Pablo Larrazabal,John Catlin, Max Kieffer & Jeff Winther, who defends the Mallorca Open next week.

My 2nd Shortlist cull below was shortened to those marked in green

My Shortlist	BET365 Odds	Best Odds	Best Exchange	My Odds
Robert MacIntyre	26	23	26	21
Rasmus Hojgaard	26	26	27	26
Callum Shinkwin	41	51	59	41
Thorbjorn Olesen	61	61	83	41
Guido Migliozzi	51	51	54	46
Thriston Lawrence	71	71	98	56
Pablo Larrazabal	71	71	93	61
Erik van Rooyen	67	67	69	41
Ewen Ferguson	76	71	74	51
Joost Luiten	81	81	120	81
Romain Langasque	81	81	95	67
Scott Jamieson	91	91	118	101
Jorge Campillo	61	71	108	101
John Catlin	91	71	83	81
Maximilian Kieffer	111	101	127	101
Jeff Winther	161	176	250	111
Alvaro Quiros	226	201	390	401

Selections

1 pt e/w T. Olesen @ 50/1 - 8 places

1 pt e/w E.Van Rooyen @ 66/1 - 6 places
1 pt e/w E. Ferguson @66/1 - 7 places
1 pt e/w J. Catlin @ 66/1 - 8 places

0.5 pt e/w M. Kieffer @ 100/1 - 6 places

0.5 pt e/w J. Winther @150/1 - 8 places