Thursday 29 April 2010

Westwood to shine at Quail Hollow

Lee Westwood is my selection to come out on top at Quail Hollow @ 20/1.

Have been put off Anthony Kim having learned of a thumb injury !!


1 pt e/w L.Westwood @ 20/1

Wednesday 28 April 2010

Open de Espana

Just 1 selection for the European event this week and I have that interest in James Morrison @ 80/1. the Englishman is well rested now and is playing very well this season and see no reason why he can't go on and win again. I was tempted to take the older of the Molinari brothers, Edoardo as well but I fancy a couple at Quail Hollow in the USA and will post those tips early Thursday morning.


Open de Espana Selection:

1 pt e/w James Morrison @ 80/1 (www.betpack.com)

Wednesday 21 April 2010

Zurich Classic of New Orleans

As the bad run continues, (Noren tied 8th with a pile of others last week) and Karlsson decided to drop 3 shots on his last 2 holes at Hilton Head, the frustration has led me to take the decision that I wont be betting on European Tour events in Asia anymore- the fields are usually of unknown quality (although this week there is a strong line-up and the temptation to back Kim @ 11/1 is strong) and I have no luck in them. The next few weeks sees the tour back in Europe with some good events in store so I will revert back to Europe next week.

So for this week its just 2 selection @ .5 pts e/w on Bubba Watson @ 40/1 and Graham Delaet @ 100/1, the latter I know nothing about really only that the Canadian is one to watch out for and has been hitting form lately.

New Orleans Classic selection:

.5 pts e/w B. Watson @ 40/1
.5 pts e/w G.Delaet @ 100/1

Thursday 15 April 2010

verizon Heritage

With such good odds on offer for Robert Karlsson at Harbour Town (100/1) I have opted for 1 pts e/w on the amiable Swede this week. he is on way back to full fitness & form following injury last season and this price may not be available again this year and represnets great value for this week.

Verizon Heritage Open Selection:

1 pt e/w Robert Karlsson @ 100/1

Wednesday 14 April 2010

Volvo China Open 2010

After yet another near miss last week with Lee Westwood finishing 2nd in The Masters, the European Tour heads for Suzhou Jinji Lake GC in China. The golf club consists of 27 holes and the 18 selected for this week will be the Wetlands course for the first nine holes and the Links course for the back nine. It will be a tough test for all and without the benefit of any course form you may do well to keep good links players on your side. To that end I have decided to take a punt on Thomas Bjorn who seems to be getting better each week and the great Dane loves Links! The fact that he is on offer at 66/1 makes my selection easier. Others in the frame are Peter Lawrie who has been in great form lately and the Dubliner will be well used to playing links as will his compatriot Shane lowry who won his home open last year at Baltray Links in Ireland. Peter & Shane can be backed at 45s & 100s respectively. I passed over Richard Finch for a top 10 finish in Spain recently and I am tempted to back him at 40s with Bodog (www.bodog.com) but I dont have an account with them yet and prefer to wait until the bank improves before doing so. Lets hope the decision to leave him out this week proves to be correct. My frequent selection, Alexander Noren, is available at 50s and its this price that makes it hard to ignore him despite his recent injuries.

Volvo China Open Selections:

.5 pts e/w T.Bjorn @ 66/1 (www.betpack.com)
.5 pts e/w P.Lawrie @ 45/1 (www.betpack.com)
.5 pts e/w A.Noren @ 50/1 (www.betpack.com)
.5 pts e/w S.Lowry @ 100/1 (www.betpack.com)

Wednesday 7 April 2010

US Masters - 2010

Its time for Augusta and the reappearance of Tiger Woods. Over the years we have learned never to write off Woods or indeed back against him. The Bookies seem to agree as the biggest offer on woods winning his 5th jacket is 6/1. Normally for the majors and this one in particular, I dive into the betting without Tiger market but I'm not convinced that Tiger can win this week. Whar we have learned is that he is human (well, we knew this anyway, but that he does make mistakes and boy,what clangers he has made recently!). I believe he should have played Bay Hill prior to the Masters, to get the spectator pressure off his back although that said i am really surprised that he has returned so soon. He may just go out and play a great tournament, but he is under so much mental pressure this week, with both on & off course behaviour, that he will be under such scrutiny I reckon that it will add a shot a day onto his scorecard. I don't believe Woods can keep this all bottled and convert it to motivation/willpower to win....it would be some story but there are guys chomping at the bit to win this week.

Ernie Els has to be the favourite- 2 wins already this year and a nearly man at Augusta, he will be revved up for it this week , and best odds of 16/1 Ladbrokes are tempting. At this end of the market the players that I really do think can win are Retief Goosen, Lee Westwood & Padraig Harrington alongside Els. Between Els, Schwartzel & Oosthuizen its been a great start to 2010 for South african golfers and i see no reason why the "Goose" cannot prevail this week. He is in great form and possess probably the next best record at Augusta other tham Woods & Mickelson. Ladbrokes again are best odds at 25/1 and therefore this is my number one bet this week. I will also have e/w bets on Westwood & Harrington as they are great consistency in the past 2 years of majors and both have gone well at Augusta in the past few years. Last years runner-up and top 10 finisher in 2007, Chad Campbell as had 3 top 25s this year and really goes well at Augusta and has to be taken at e/w or top 10. 80/1 best odds for the win but 13/2 with www.betpack.com has to be taken as the sensible bet. others to consider must be Paul Casey, Hunter Mahan, Lucas Glover (odds of 125/1 cannot be ignored) and former winner Mike Weir & Zach Johnson who both have decent form lately. Phil Mickelson may well win his 3rd jacket but I don't think he has been playing enough lately so will leave him out of my selection process this week. I am opting for Mahan over Campbell purely because Mahan looks like a future Major winner and its just one of "those feelings" !

US Masters Selections:
1 pt e/w R.Goosen @ 25/1 (www.ladbrokes.com)
1 pt e/w L.Westwood @ 20/1 (www.ladbrokes.com)
1 pt e/w P.Harrington @ 20/1(www.ladbrokes.com)
1 pt e/w H.Mahan @ 60/1 (www.betpack.com)
1.5 pts Top 10 finish C.Campbell @ 13/2 (www.betpack.com)

Thursday 1 April 2010

Shell Houston Open

After more frustration last week when Richard Finch finished in the top 5 not to mention the top 10, I had selected Rafael Cabrera-Bello at big odds over the Englishman, as mentioned in last weeks post. I was tempted to have a break altogether this week and keep next bet to next week's Masters but as the field for the Shell Houston Open is quite strong I feel its a good betting tournament. Surely, the "Big Easy" can't win again this week ? Padraig will be toning his game for Augusta and he may not necessarily want to win on Sunday. Martin Kaymer is top quality golfer who on the other hand is trying to make a mark on US soil and having based himself in Arizona this year, he may just be up for it this week as he tests his sharpness for next week. At odds of 25/1 across most bookies he is my number one bet.
Charl Scwartzel, 50/1 is great value for agolfer in the best form of his career. Odds are value due to this being a PGA tour event but he has renewed confidence and is worth a punt at these odds purely based on form. he is big hitter which is crucial this week (think its crucial every week in the US).
A small outside wager is also suggested for Carl Pettersen to finish in the top 10 @ 12/1. The Swede has been in good form lately and may go well enough to finish in the top 10.

Shell Houston Open Selections:

.5 pts WIN Martin Kaymer @ 25/1
.5 pts e/w C.Schwartzel @ 50/1
.5 pts Top 10 C.Pettersen @ 12/1