Very late this week to get my selections up on the blog, but I'm quite keen on a couple in Illinois and have had a dabble at The Belfry also. Blog is brief, apologies.
BMW Championship
Olympia Fields is bound to play tough this week. The course was used back in 2003 for the US Open and for the 2015 US Amateur which Bryson De Chambeau won. Jon Rahm also contended that year before being eliminated in the knockout rounds. (Ireland's Paul Dunne was beaten by De Chambeau in the quarter finals). A par-70 with just two Par-5s, the scoring should be much harder than what DJ produced last week. Its the 2nd of the 3 FedEX Cup play-off events with the TOP-30 moving on to East Lake next week.
I'm backing Justin Thomas here - yes he's gone off the boil in his last two starts but the course should suit his game. At 14/1 I think he gives a little bit of value; I had him @ 11/12's. I did also think Rory could bounce back here but the simple fact of not having one single TOP-10 in his 7 starts since the season restart does not read well and he's dismissed on form.
Joaquin Niemann is on the staking plan. He's had a great season and I think he'll like Olympia Fields where is ball striking should see him in contention. He's 13/21 starts this season - won the opening Greenbrier and has posted a further 3 TOP20s since. Form has dropped of late but the price allows for this. He can bounce back this week at a nice price @125/1 - 7 places.
Kevin Na I'm not sure I have ever backed but I like his outside chances here. He too won last Autumn and has posted a further 7 TOP-20s from his 18 other starts, but its his results at tournaments like The Amex (17th) , AT&T (14th) , WGC Mexico (9th) , Travelers (5th) , Memorial (9th) that offers hope that he can excel at a tough event @ 100/1 - 7 places.
Mark Hubbard has been chances a few times of late - he wants to get to East Lake and a TOP-20 here might do it for him. He's 9/2 to do so in this 70 man field