Wednesday 27 September 2017

British Masters 2017 - Close Hall GC

I've limited time this week for a preview of the British Masters to be played at Close Hsll on the Colt Course hosted by Lee Westwood.

From my shortlist earlier this week I'm backing just 3 players as per below.

Previews to continue next week

DATE TOUR EVENT Bet Details Odds Bet Type Units Result Total Cost of Bet Returns P&L
28/09/2017 EURO British Masters 0.50 pts D. Frittelli @ 120.00 120 win 0.5 0.5
28/09/2017 EURO British Masters 0.25 pts J. Wang @ 170.00 170 win 0.25 0.25
28/09/2017 EURO British Masters 0.25 pts D. Fichardt @ 660.00 660 win 0.25 0.25
28/09/2017 EURO British Masters 5.00 pts TOP20 D. Fichardt @ 11.00 11 win 5 5

Tuesday 19 September 2017

Portugal Masters 2017 - Oceanico Victoria Clube de Golfe

Villamoura, Algarve is the setting for this weeks European Tour event where Pádraig Harrington will defend the Portugal Masters title. A resort course where birdies are the order of the week, the list of winners here suggest big hitting, wind liking players will prevail come Sunday.

I put up George Coetzee on the shortlist for last week in Spijk but didn't include him the staking plan, but his T-3rd result emphasized his return to form this season and he now has 6 TOP-10s and a further 2 TOP20s from his 19 starts. Through in this recent form with solid course form here, the South African is a bet @ 34.00

Thorbjorn Olesen represents a bit of value too @ 22.00. The Dane has no course form to boast of but I cant ignore his form this season. 16/17 with 4 TOP10s (5 TOP20s), Olesen hasn't missed a cut since May at Wentworth, and tees it up having had the last three weeks off. Class player who has the ability to see off this field will be anxious to get some Ryder Cup points in the bag here.

Richard Sterne is another I cannot ignore this week @ 50.00 He may not have won since 2013, but the 36 year old can boast decent results of late to climb to 67 in the R2D and 108 in the OWGR. Those numbers should be an incentive to improve on before the season concludes. Three TOP20s in his last 5 starts came out last week's KLM Open (9th), European Open (19th) and Scottish Open (19th). He was 28th at the PGA Championship.

Join Playon here and get free entry using code "BIRDIE" on this weeks DFS games

Selections:

3.00 pts G. Coetzee @ 34.00
4.50 pts T. Olesen @ 22.00
1.25 pts e/w R.Sterne @ 50.00

Wednesday 13 September 2017

KLM Open 2017 - The Dutch GC, Spijk, Holland

Local hero, Joost Luiten looks to defend his National title again at The Dutch GC this week and he showed in his recent outing that he's coming into form at the right time to do so. He won the first of his two National Opens in 2013 and followed up with a TOP-5 twelve months later  at Kennemer GC. He'll be joined in the field this week by players looking to save their card and playing privileges for next season as well as market leaders, Bernd Wiesberger , Ross Fisher, Lee Westwood, Julian Suri, Andy Sullivan to name but a few. Fisher & Westwood are both former winners of the title. Another former winner, Peter Hanson, also showing a return to form of late, joins twice winner Simon Dyson, who looks to find something to re-ignite his career after a difficult time on tour the past 4 years following that incident in Abu Dhabi. The Englishman has arguably the best Dutch form in this week's field having won twice (at two different courses) as well as a runner up in 2014 to Paul Casey and a 3rd place finish in 2013, where he tied alongside Ross Fisher. The event has seen a number of multiple winners, and also a number of high profile winners over the years.

It's been a decent season, so far, for Ross Fisher who is 10/15 with 6 TOP-20s, 5 of which were TOP-10s and 2 of those were TOP-5. 3rd at the WGC in Mexico being the highlight of the season so far but Ross can boast solid performances in much better company when finishing 7th at Golf National in France, and 9th at Wentworth last May. Form has dipped a bit of late having missed the cut last week in Crans and at Quail Hollow last month but the former KLM Open winner as mentioned already should be liking The Dutch this week. He was 45th here last year and can boast solid form in The Netherlands to complement that win in 2007 with a further 4 TOP-20s in his 8 visits since. Currently inside the TOP-10 in The Race to Dubai, Fisher will look to kick on towards the Series Finale as well as gather some Ryder Cup points. Hes well worth a bet here @ 34.00

Nacho Elvira can point to a decent season of golf having produced 5 TOP-20s from his 20 starts. 6th & 11th in the Middle East indicates he can play in the wind but it's his last 3 starts that provide the confidence that he could be in for a good week where he has finished 12-19-20 at European Open, Made in Denmark and last week's European Masters. He tied alongside Ross Fisher in 45th place last year at The Dutch, so has the course experience under his belt. He had 6 TOP10s last season so is finding his way on Tour and could be ready to strike for a win that is becoming an inevitably. The Spaniard is worth a bet here @ 51.00 especially with 6 places on offer with Paddypower.

Jens Fahrbring has similar 2017 form to Elvira in that he's also 12/20 with 5 TOP-20s. 5th in Hamburg last month and 18th in Prague two weeks ago suggest he's in decent form despite a missed cut in between in Denmark. Given hes 5/20 in TOP-20s this season (25%)  the price of 8.00 to grab another here is appealing as he makes a push to improve on his R2D position of 110.

Selections
1.00 pts e/w R. Fisher @ 34.00
0.75 pts e/w N.Elvira @ 51.00
6.50 pts TOP-20 J. Fahrbring @ 8.00

Wednesday 6 September 2017

European Masters 2017 - Crans sur Sierre, Switzerland

One of the most eagerly anticipated events on the tour, The Omega European Masters takes place in the Swiss Alps this week where Alex Noren returns to action hoping to complete a hattrick of wins having taken the title in 2009 & 2016.

My Shortlist
Best Odds
Exchange
My Odds
My % Book
Value (Y/N)
TOP10
TOP20
Tyrrell Hatton
41
42
34
2.94%
YES
4.6
2.8
Benjamin Hebert
81
81
67
1.49%
YES
8
4.33
Mike Lorenzo Vera
81
81
71
1.41%
YES
8
4.2
Pablo Larrazabal
81
81
67
1.49%
YES
8
4.5
Victor Dubuisson
81
81
71
1.41%
YES
9
4.5
Dylan Frittelli
81
90
81
1.23%
YES
10
5.5
David Lipsky
81
105
81
1.23%
YES
8
5
George Coetzee
101
114
61
1.64%
YES
11
5.5
James Morrison
111
105
101
0.99%
YES
10
6
Alexander Bjork
111
114
101
0.99%
YES
12
5.6
Julien Quesne
151
152
201
0.5
NO
15
7
Bernd Wiesberger
26
27
23
4.35%
YES
3.4
2.2
Ross Fisher
36
30
31
3.23%
NO
4.33
2.5

It's a very short preview again this week I'm afraid due to time constraints but I did release my 13-man shortlist(above) earlier today with the highlighted players very much my focus for the week ahead. Frenchman, Mike Lorenzo-Vera, may have been better known for his mustache to date but we can't ignore his consistent form of late either. 9th last week in Prague and 3rd in Paris in July, he's 10/13 with 6 of those resulting in T-20s for the season so far. He makes his 5th appearance here this week and clearly likes the course. He had to retire in 2015 but in his three other visits he has posted 12-19-14. Same again this week please Mike and hopefully a charge at the title come Sunday @ 81.00, 4.20 (TOP20)

Despite arriving "very fresh" I think its time to get onside with Bernd Wiesberger @ 26.00. The Austrian is 16/17 with a win in Shenzhen and 6 TOP-20s for the season.  I like his price here and on review would probably see him more a 18/1-20/1 shot in this field given his form this season and he can go in here for win number two of the season.

Lastly, I'll take Alexander Bjork for a TOP20 this week despite making his debut at the course. He's 18/22 for the season, from which he's posted 7 TOP-20s (35%) - the odds of 5.60 imply 18% so I'm keen to get on board here. Tempted also by Coetzee, Quesne & Morrison but I'll stick with the Swede and hope it's the right pick !

Staking Plan

1.50 pts e/w B. Wiesberger @ 26.0
0.50 pts win M. Lorenzo-Vera @ 81.00
3.00 pts TOP20 M. Lorenzo-Vera @ 4.20
3.50 pts TOP20 A. Bjork @ 5.60