Wednesday, 31 August 2011

Deutsche Bank Championship 2011

2nd Fedex Cup Playoff takes place at TPC Boston where birdies will be required to win! (well they always are but this week scoring will be low and those that feature high on birdie count should feature). Dustin Johnson won last week in the reduced 54 hole Barclays, and with all due respect to DJ, its hard to know how it would have panned out over 72 holes in normal cicumstances. I put up Sergio Garcia last week and was nicely placed after the first round, but late tee off in rd 2 went against him as it had been announced before he set off that the event would be decided over 54 holes at which time Kuchar & Johnson were 11 shots clear. I do believe "El Nino" is getting back to his near best and will stick with him again this week, particularly at 45/1 with Victor Chandler Golf

Second selection is Webb Simpson who won recently at the Wyndham. With that first win in the bag I am hoping his Sunday nerves are better controlled for this weekend (and the fact that the final round is on Monday!). Shoots a lot of birdies and is in fantastic form. Again best price is 30/1 with Victor Chandler Golf

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Tuesday, 30 August 2011

Omega European Masters 2011

This week we have two fascinating events both sides of the Atlantic. In Europe a strong field is assembling for the European Masters in Switzerland where market leaders are McIlroy, Westwood, Mannessero & Kaymer. In Boston, USA, the 2nd Fedex Playoff event is staged for the Deutsche Bank Championship. Both events are sure to be birdie fests too. Undecided yesterday which event to invest in, today I have decided to invest in both. Remember folks, the Deutsche does not start til Friday this week so for now its all focus on Crans sur Sierre. The course will suit McIlroy & Westwood and either can be backed at 9s.But at 20s and seemingly dismissed by a few out there, is Martin Kaymer. Great odds for a player of his talent despite not having a good far! I don't think he has been playing too badly in fact I reckon he is not far away from clicking over four rounds and this could be his week to return to form. He tees it up on Thursday morning at 08:20 on the 10th tee alongside Louis Oosthuizen & last week's winner, Thomas Bjorn. Class act is the Dusseldorf native that he is, the 20/1 offer with Bet365 cannot go untouched and he is my first of two selections for this event this week.
My second selection was a toss up between one of my favourite's, Alex Noren & Seung You Noh. The former has won twice this year to add to his previous win on tour which came here in 2009. He is a generous 30/1 to repeat that feat again but I just cannot ignore the Korean's chances this week as he has been showing steady form the past 3/4 events which is surely to end in a victory on European soil soon. The 35/1 with Bet365 also is just about good value for the youngster and is sure to give us a run for our money in the Alps. He tees it up in the group behind Kaymer's, alongside Rory McIlroy & Miguel Angel Jiminez on the Thursday so should be carried along with some good scoring.

TIP 1: 1 pt e/w M.Kaymer @ 20/1

TIP 2: 1 pt e/w S.Y-Noh @ 35/1

I will have two selections on the blog tomorrow for the Deutsche Bank Championship to complete the staking plan for this week

Saturday, 27 August 2011

Final Day Twoball could go Morrison's way

With The Barclays limited to 54 holes, where Dustin Johnson prevailed in time to beat Hurrican Irene, Sunday's action turns to Gleneagles in Scotland where Mark Foster & Ignacio Garrido lead the field by 3 shots. There is a good chance of a surge from the pack and that suggests that Larrazabal, Lawrie, Bjorn, Gallacher, Dyson, Warren & Morrison along with the inform Gagli are not without chances. Its the latter two whose twoball catches my eye. As mentioned, Gagli has been in fine form and looks good for yet another top 10 finish but James Morrison has been hitting some form lately too and is taken to outscore the Italian @ 2.60 with Bet365

Wednesday, 24 August 2011

Harrington Value in opening day threeball

Padraig Harrington hasn't had a great season and his frustration finally showed when playing in Killarney last month. He has ditched good friend and long time coach Bob Torrance in a bid to regain his form that saw him land 3 Majors.He has some good rounds this season and most have them have happened in the opening round too. He should see off Will McGirt & Arjun Atwal tomorrow and at odds of 2.25 with Betpack, there is real value to be had. Padriag will be out to salvage a poor season and that starts tomorrow !

The Barclays - Fedex Play Off Week 1

Having studied the market for the Johnnie Walker at Gleneagles this week I have concluded that this is yet another week where the winner could come from just about anywhere. So attention will be focussed on the Barclays this week over in the US, where the playoff commences for the Fedex Cup. A new venue this year, so it will be hard to pick on course form but some interesting reaction from the European contigent about the sloping greens would suggest that they may have a big say this week. I, however, will be sticking to the recent form as an idicator as to where the winner may be and I have to start with Zach Johnson. Playing ever so consistently this season without landing a title, the course this week is suggesting that it may benefit him here and if he putts the way he has been, it could be just his week and he is my first choice @ 40/1 with Paddypower

Second up is Jim Furyk, the reigning Fedex Cup winner.Widely available at 45/1 he has been hitting form lately and again this course suggests it will suit his game and he is sure to put up a good defence of the title. He is taken to do so with Bet365

Third choice is a player that I seldom back. A player that I never really liked until this year. This year I have been amazed at his attitude in clawing his way back into form and in particular to his off course demeanour. His split with girlfriend seemed to have had an effect on him and now that the dust has settled, Sergio Garcia seems to getting back to his very best and will be a challenger this week at 40/1 with Boylesports. As I begin to like "El Nino" perhaps he can really grow on me with a win this week. Let's hope so!

TIP 1: 1 pt e/w Z.Johnson @ 40/1 Paddypower

TIP 2: 1 pt e/w J.Furyk @ 45/1 Bet365

TIP 3: 1 pt e/w S.Garcia @ 40/1 Boylesports

Sunday, 21 August 2011

Value in O'Hara's 2ball today

Last pairing out todays sees Steven O'Hara and Oliver Fisher vying for their maiden tour win. I actually think they will be so nervous that the eventual winner will come from the pack (Lara/McGrane,Boyd) but purely on experience alone,I feel O'Hara will do better than Fisher this afternoon and the 2.38 odds with Victor Chandler Golf are taken to hopefully get the balance moving back in the right direction.

Tuesday, 16 August 2011

Czech Open 2011

Back to the bread & butter stuff on the Europeantour this week and a fairly weak field it must be said teeing it up at The Prosper Golf Resort in Celadná. Course designer Miguel Angel Jiminez leads the betting but there is some value within the field to take him on. Shane Lowry is one of those. He had a good June before a quiet July & August but he is well rested and comes into this with a clear goal to finish the season strong. He lies 58th in the R2D rankings so will be anxious to improve his position over the next 3 months. This is his third visit to the Czech Open so will know the course and his 64 in round 2 last year is a sign he can go low here. He is value at 50/1 with Paddypower
James Morrison has potential and this type of tournament always presents the Englishman with an opportunity to win. He is out early on Thursday which is a plus and plays alongside Tano Goya who has great course form so could be a big help to get into position.66/1 with Paddypower is a value bet for me this week.
My third selection this week is Thorborn Olesen at 35/1 with Bet365. Showing great form the past couple of months, the Dane is sure to come in one of the weeks and is a very confident player and if he can get up the leaderboard early enough this could be the week he "prospers"

TIP 1: 1 pt e/w S.Lowry @ 50/1 Paddypower

TIP 2: 1 pt e/w J.Morrison @ 66/1 Paddypower

TIP 3: 1 pt e/w T.Olesen @ 35/1 Bet365

Saturday, 13 August 2011

Davis Love to continue good form today in Round 3

Couldn't pass up on Davis Love beating Scott Piercy in today's 3ball. The veteran has been playing really well lately and if he can hole a few more putts today, he could find himself at the business end of the leaderboard for Sunday. He is taken to edge Piercy on a Major Saturday @ 1.8 with Paddypower

Tuesday, 9 August 2011

PGA Championship 2011

Jason Day didn't get going last Sunday and eventually had to settle for a tie for 4th behind winner, Adam Scott, meaning we missed out narrowly on a hat-trick of wins. This week sees the final Major being played at Atlanta Athletic Club in Georgia, where defending champion, Martin Kaymer did the business for us last year @ 55/1. Not so sure he can defend this year as he just hasn't quite got into his best form lately.I am sticking with Jason Day again this week. He has magnificent form in all the big ones this year and last weeks top 5 yet again, despite a mediocre final round gives me hope that he can get the job done this week. The course will suit the Aussie and he is sure to challenge and is well backing @ 28/1 with Boylesports.
Last weeks winner, also an Aussie, Adam Scott must be very confident this week and with Steve Williams on the bag too. What a result last week at Firestone winning in Tigers comeback tournament! They will be bullish this week too and I really do think its time for Scott to add to the Players Title and the recent WGC title with a Major. Its hard to win back to back weeks, but you can't beat taking form into a big one like this and the odds of 22/1 with either Boylesports or Paddypower represent good value.
I also like the chances of Zach Johnson. He has been so consistent this year without winning that you have to feel that the elusive win could come soon and indeed this week. Winner a number of times in the state of Georgia, the signs are good that this could be his week. Brilliant putter too and a putting stat that seems to back form of 10 years ago when the PGA was last played here (won by Toms), he is sure to have another good week. I only hope he gets a good first round under his belt as he seems to be getting out of the blocks a bit slowly lately. Best odds on Zach winning are 50/1 with Paddypower (remember also that they and Boyles are paying 6 places at 1/4 odds- if you need to open an account with either of them click on the link under preferred bookie)
My 4th selection for the final Major of the year is Lee Westwood!16/1 with Paddypower, I have great faith in Lee getting that first Major. He has been so close the past few years that some suggest he is a bottler but he has shown to be patient(maybe just a bit too patient) but his driver will be key this week and could finally do it. Nick Watney is another to watch and perhaps Dustin Johnson but I'll stick with my staking plan as per below.

TIP 1: 1 pt e/w J.Day @ 28/1 Boylesports

TIP 2: 1 pt e/w A.Scott @ 22/1 Boylesports or Paddypower

TIP 3: 1 pt e/w Z.Johnson @ 50/1 Paddypower

TIP 4: 1 pt e/w L.Westwood @ 16/1 Paddypower

Saturday, 6 August 2011

Watney to nick it on Saturday

Nick Watney is a standout price 1.95 with Bet365 today to outscore partners Hennie Otto and Ryo Ishikawa. The American is lurking behind the leaders and will use "moving day" to get into position to challenge tomorrow for the title. Otto has exceeded expectations here, has shown some sort of form in Europe but is not consistent and I see only the young Japanese star being a threat to Nick. But the experience of Watney indicates he should edge him and there is value in taking the 1.95 on offer.

Wednesday, 3 August 2011

WGC - Bridgestone Invitational 2011

The blog goes in search of a hat-trick of wins this week following Simon Dyson's win in Killarney on Sunday. A lot of side shows will play out at the Firestone course, Tiger Woods return to action, without Steve Williams as well, Rory McIlroy's first appearance since winning the US Open on American soil and this following his stupid Twitter rant last week against Jay Townsend, all which either adds to the excitement or distracts from the quality of the field assembled. I'm a fan of Rory's, but he has to learn he can't air his opinions in public the way he does- there is a time and place. These side shows wont be quite as good as the side show put on in Scotland recently here though!
It's hard to pick a winner in these fields such is the quality of the selected golfers. Therefore, form must be considered. Rory is better suited to these type of courses but media attention could cost him a few shots here.Lee Westwood must be feeling the pressure to deliver, as Chubby Chandler's stable continues to spit out winners.I am going to opt for American Dustin Johnson this week. A huge driver of the ball and has the putting skills required to go low here. Is in in great form and is due a big title having contended so many lately. Best price 20/1 with Victor Chandler Golf
I like the looks of Jason Day too. Natural talent and one who is playing great at the moment. Can hit a ball and get close and I expect him to be there or thereabouts this weekend. Has done really well in the big ones this year- T2nd at Augusta, 2nd at Sandwich, T6th at Byron Nelson and 5th at The Players.40/1 with Boylesports
MY third pick was a toss up between Gary Woodland, who had a great tournament last week, and the Masters champ, Charl Schwartzel. The South African getting the nod coming into this fresh, will relish the driving aspect of the course and sure to give value at 35/1 with William Hill He partners Luke Donald for the opening round, and has shown a real liking for the big ones this year too - Winner of The Masters,9th at the US Open, 16th at The Open and will be ready for this one and the PGA next week.

TIP 1: 1 pt e/w D.Johnson @ 20/1 Victor Chandler Golf

TIP 2: 1 pt e/w @ 40/1 Boylesports

TIP 3: 1 pt e/w C.Scwartzel @ 35/1 William Hill