Tuesday, 3 June 2014

Lyoness Open 2014





One week before the US Open at Pinehurst means a wekened field in Europe will assemble at the Diamond Golf Club outside Vienna in Austria where Miguel Angel Jiminez surprisingly tees it up. "The Mechanic" though surely has to be faitgued at this point following his win at The Spanish Open, recent marriage to an Austrian lady and exploits on his Seniors debut and Masters efforts. He is afterall 50 years of age! But he'll tempt alot of punters this week @ 11/1 for sure but the sheer factor of the fatigue has indeed put me off here. He is not the favourite to succeed either, as defending champion Joost Luiten & local hope, Bernd Wiesberger head the market here. I won't be backing either !

Following two very poor weeks on the blog recently, I am a bit more cautious this week as this really is an opportunity for most to capitalize, especially those with a solid accurate game playing well of late. Anders Hansen had been before a missed cut last week in Sweden but that weekend off may be a blessing in disguise. At 20/1 I'm very tempted for sure but I'm keen to see how my "10towinsoon" approach will fare out following a decent first showing last week in Malmo where Eddie Pepperell went very close (T6th). Indeed 2 others, (Kieffer & Pieters) finished in TOP20. This week, just 4 of the "stable" are playing but only 2 meet the "threshold price minimum" and they are Kevin Phelan & Adrian Otaegui. So, they automatically are included into this week's staking plan with Pieters (40/1 far too short here) and Hatton missing out.

I'm completing my staking plan with just 1 other player this week.  South African, Keith Horne has been having some considerable success on the Sunshine Tour this season with 5 TOP10s in his 8 starts including 2 co-sanctioned events with the European Tour. It's not often Horne ventures onto the European Tour but if bringing his game this week he can contend. Excellent for GIR stats, the 42 year old Durbanite should be well able to compete with this field. Available @ 100/1



Staking Plan

1 pt WIN K.Horne @ 100/1

TOP10
4 pts K.Horne @ 8/1

10ToWinSoon

1 pt A.Otaegui @ 110.00
1 pt K.Phelan   @ 150.00