I suppose we should see this week's field as the new "strong DP World Tour" lineup? With Wentworth two weeks away that will change but between now and Dubai it probably will be as good as it gets and if so, then the ones on the shortlist below must be the ones I will need to focus on over the next 6 weeks or so.
Marcel Schneider left it a bit late to get going last Sunday and was never looking like challenging for the title but he at least returned some profit on the event itself to bring the 2022 P&L up to +126.04 pts. I dont have him down as a value bet this week based on on Stats but as he celebrated with Max Kieffer last Sunday he could very well be motivated to perform better this week and having sided with him twice this month already I'd be kicking myself if he did produce a result here this week @ 60/1 - 7 places
| My Shortlist | BET365 Odds | Best Odds | Best Exchange | My Odds | My % Book | Probability | EV | Value (Y/N) | SG:T2G | SG:APR |
| Ryan Fox | 19 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 5.26% | 0.05 | 0.000 | NO | 4 | 2 |
| Victor Perez | 34 | 31 | 39 | 29 | 3.45% | 0.03 | 0.069 | YES | 12 | 8 |
| Romain Langasque | 34 | 34 | 50 | 41 | 2.44% | 0.02 | -0.171 | NO | 8 | 9 |
| Marcus Armitage | 41 | 36 | 49 | 36 | 2.78% | 0.03 | 0.000 | NO | 14 | 3 |
| Richard Mansell | 34 | 34 | 40 | 34 | 2.94% | 0.03 | 0.000 | NO | 10 | 72 |
| Matt Wallace | 41 | 41 | 55 | 31 | 3.23% | 0.03 | 0.323 | YES | 19 | 4 |
| Mikko Korhonen | 41 | 41 | 50 | 67 | 1.49% | 0.01 | -0.388 | NO | 16 | 12 |
| Ewen Ferguson | 46 | 51 | 54 | 56 | 1.79% | 0.02 | -0.089 | NO | 23 | 18 |
| Adri Arnaus | 34 | 34 | 36 | 26 | 3.85% | 0.04 | 0.308 | YES | 39 | 47 |
| Marcel Schneider | 61 | 61 | 59 | 67 | 1.49% | 0.01 | -0.090 | NO | 61 | 108 |
| Edoardo Molinari | 67 | 81 | 90 | 61 | 1.64% | 0.02 | 0.328 | YES | 7 | 5 |
| Lukas Nemecz | 101 | 101 | 180 | 81 | 1.23% | 0.01 | 0.247 | YES | 9 | 11 |
| Louis De Jager | 101 | 91 | 120 | 81 | 1.23% | 0.01 | 0.123 | YES | 24 | 65 |
| Lee Slattery | 101 | 101 | 150 | 111 | 0.90% | 0.01 | -0.090 | NO | 13 | 6 |
No value in Ryan Fox or Marcus Armitage who I was really keen on but the prices are fair based on my own "tissue". It's Matt Wallace though that is irritating me here as he's a guy I simply cant take too and certainly don't want to cheering on come Sunday afternoon but thinks there is value with the 40/1 given he has shown before when returning from the PGA that the DP Tour is a step down in class and he seems to rise to the challenge or lack thereof. This is golf betting right here; I am not backing him before the off based on my personal dislike of him (he could be a lovely guy for all that I know) and instead I'll add Victor Perez and Ardri Arnaus, as well as Edoardo Molinari & Lukas Nemecz. Slattery should go well as he has done before in the past but I'd want more than 100/1 for a player that doesn't win. Louis De Jager caught my eye last week but I'll give benefit of the doubt to my 80/1 pricing and leave him out here also. Arnaus I think is super value this week given the field and if he can start well on Thursday and drive it a bit straighter than he has done of late he will contend!
Selections:
1 pt e/w M.Schneider @ 60/1 - 7 places
1.5 pts e/w V. Perez @ 28/1 - 7 places
2.5 pts e/w A. Arnaus @ 28/1 - 7 places
0.75 pts e/w E. Molinari @ 80/1 - 7 places
0.50 pts e/w L. Nemecz @ 100/1 - 7 places
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