Wednesday 12 April 2023

RBC Heritage 2023 - Hilton Head

 The RBC Heritage sees it's strongest field ever this week as the PGA has decided to make this one of it's 13 non-Major Designated events and the newly crowned Masters Champion, Jon Rahm heads the field.

I was really annoyed last week when the weather put paid to JT for the 2nd time in three years and due to the Easter weekend thought my interest would wane. Russell Henley though provided a place return @150/1 whilst Jon Rahm deservedly captured his first green jacket. It was great to see a strong effort from Brooks Koepka though however it was a major shock to see Mickelson do so well. As JT missed the cut, he could be just as annoyed as myself and may want to get a W sooner rather than later and Hilton Head may present an opportunity if the market leaders are feeling the effects of a busy weekend last at Augusta. History tells us that Masters contenders d not fare well here but this however is a designated event with a much stronger field in assembly. JT's odds continue to push out and as a result I cannot ignore them and he's chanced yet again @ 25/1 - 8 places

From my shortlist below I was quite keen on Matt Kuchar but so too are the bookies. However J.T. Poston is holding his price for value as well as Sam's Ryder & Stevens who are in solid form and could pounce any given week. Taylor Montgomery may not have course knowledge this week like most other weeks but he is playing nicely and his price certainly tempts me in.  Sam Ryder tees it up having posted 6no. T-20s from his 16 starts this season despite having missed the cut here 3 times from his 4 visits. Stevens arrives on the back f 2nd in Texas, 3rd in Puntacana and here's hoping he follows the trend on his debut at Hilton Head. Poston has course form;3-mc-8-6 to date and he too is in form this season with a T-10 at the Valspar last month.

My ShortlistBet365 odds (less places)Best OddsBest ExchangeMy Odds
Justin Thomas26263121
Tommy Fleetwood61568651
Brian Harman10110114467
Keith Mitchell111111176101
J.T. Poston61817467
Matt Kuchar51515446
Kevin Kisner301501627151
Taylor Montgomery10110116781
Davis Riley151201304141
Sam Ryder141201308151
Taylor Pendrith251301559201
Sam Stevens151201353176


Selections 

2 pts e/w J. Thomas @ 25/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w J.T. Poston @ 70/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w T. Montgomery @ 100/1 - 8places
1 pt e/w S. Stevens @ 175/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w D. Ryder  @ 175/1 - 8 places

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