Tuesday, 27 February 2024
HSBC Womens World Championship 2024 - Sentosa Golf Club - Tanjong Course
1 pt e/w L. Maguire @ 45/1 - 6 places
.5 pt e/w C. Wannasaen @ 175/1 - 6 places
Cognizant Classic in Palm Beaches (The Honda Classic) 2024 - PGA National
Selections
1 pt e/w B. Hossler @ 45/1 - 10 places
1 pt e/w R. Fowler @ 66/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w A. Bhatia @ 70/1 - 8 places
0.5 pts e/w C. Kim @ 150/1 - 8 places
SDC Championship 2024 - St. Francis Links, Eastern Cape, South Africa
Selections
1 pt e/w U. Coussaud @ 60/1 - 7 places
1 pt e/w J. Schaper @ 30/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w A. Rozner @ 25/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w R. Van Velzen @ 50/1 - 7 places
117 Argentina Open (KFT) - OLIVOS GOLF CLUB, Buenos Aires
Selections
1 pt e/w Ricky Castillo @ 35/1 - 6 places
1 pt e/w T. Widing @ 40/1 - 6 places
1 pt e/w T. Widing @ 40/1 - 6 places
Wednesday, 21 February 2024
Honda LPGA Thailand 2024 - Siam Country Club (Pattaya Old Course) - Chon Buri, Thailand
Selections
1 pt e/w C.Knight @ 33/1 - 6 places
1 pt e/w A. Furue @ 28/1 - 6 places
1 pt e/w L.Maguire @ 33/1 - 6 places
.5 pt e/w C. Wannasaen @125/1 - 6 places
Tuesday, 20 February 2024
Mexico Open 2024 - Vidanta Vallarta
Selections
1 pt e/w T. Pendrith @ 28/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w V. Norrman @ 60/1 - 10 places
1 pt e/w J. Bramlett @ 80/1 - 8 places
.5 pt e/w V.Perez @80/1 - 10 places
.5 pt e/w N.Xiong @ 1701/ - 10 places
Monday, 19 February 2024
Kenya Open 2024 - Muthaiga GC, Nairobi
Selections
1.5 pts E/W M. Kawamura @ 40/1 - 7 places
1 pt E/W N. Elvira @ 50/1 - 7 places
1 pt E/W J. Brun @ 66/1 - 7 places
1.5 pts E/W A. Cockerill @ 33/1 - 7 places
.5 pts E/W J. Wang @ 150/1 - 8 places
***********************************************************************************
* Update Wednesday @ 17:30 (GMT)
Player | My Shortlist | BET365 Odds | Best Odds | Best Exchange | My Odds |
Thriston Lawrence | Course | 15 | 17 | 15.7 | 17 |
Ewen Ferguson | Multi | 17 | 19 | 16.2 | 21 |
Rikuya Hoshino | Current Form | 19 | 17 | 15.7 | 23 |
Alex Fitzpatrick | Stats | 23 | 23 | 29 | 26 |
Frederic Lacroix | Current Form | 23 | 26 | 25 | 29 |
Jesper Svensson | Current Form | 29 | 29 | 26 | 41 |
Aaron Cockerill | Multi | 34 | 36 | 39 | 34 |
Connor Syme | Multi | 36 | 36 | 35 | 36 |
John Catlin | Multi | 36 | 41 | 35 | 46 |
Guido Migliozzi | Multi | 41 | 46 | 41 | 41 |
Masahiro Kawamura | Multi | 46 | 51 | 23 | 41 |
Shubhankar Sharma | Multi | 61 | 61 | 64 | 91 |
Nacho Elvira | Multi | 51 | 61 | 54 | 81 |
Ashun Wu | Course | 61 | 67 | 59 | 81 |
Julien Brun | Course | 67 | 61 | 64 | 61 |
Renato Paratore | Current Form | 67 | 71 | 69 | 81 |
Santiago Tarrio | Course | 91 | 91 | 88 | 111 |
Lukas Nemecz | Course | 126 | 126 | 12.3 | 111 |
Jamie Donaldson | Multi | 126 | 126 | 127 | 101 |
Marcus Kinhult | Price | 101 | 111 | 98 | 91 |
Hurly Long | Course | 151 | 151 | 17.2 | 111 |
JeungHun Wang | Multi | 176 | 176 | 196 | 81 |
Joel Girrbach | Current Form | 151 | 176 | 147 | 151 |
Craig Howie | Course | 151 | 176 | 147 | 201 |
From my shortlist and final review I have had a niggly feeling about Connor Syme and noticed not just the Scotsman, but also Thriston Lawrence, Alex Fitzpatrick, Guido Migliozzi, John Catlin as well as Shubhankar Sharma all have relative course associated form that requires a second look.
Lawrence was 2nd here 2 years ago to Ashun Wu (tying with our pick Cockerill & Hurly Long) but he also has showed up at Crans-sur-Sierre, winning the European Masters in 2022 and posting a T-10 at Valderrama last year, both courses with very relative form-lines to Muthaiga GC.
Sharma has shown up at Fanling (twice) & Wentworth, two courses that have seen winners of both this and the respective events.
Syme has shown up at Valderrama, Wentworth & Crans in the past couple of seasons and he's been backed by me only recently as well so perhaps jumpring ship this week is not a good idea. He was 3rd here in 2021 and hasn't missed a cut in his last 10 tournaments. He's now a best price @ 30/1 - 6 places / 28/1 - 7 places but perhaps a back bet on the exchange @ 42.00 / TOP-10 @ 5.30 is a better option.
Alex Fitzpatrick has followed his brother at Crans posting a T-5 there last year as well as posting some recent good form but Guido Migliozzi catches the eye with form at Crans & Valderrama whilst he won the Kenya Open at nearby Karen GC so should be hopeful of a good week here. He's best price now of 35/1 - 6 places / 30/1 - 8 places and also 42.00 / 5.40 on the exchange
Thursday, 15 February 2024
Genesis Invitational 2024 - Riviera GC, Los Angeles
Selections
2 pts e/w V.Hovland @ 16/1 - 7 places
1 pt e/w C.Young @ 33/1 - 7 places
.5 pt e/w S. Ryder @ 300/1 - 7 places
1 pt e/w C.Young @ 33/1 - 7 places
.5 pt e/w S. Ryder @ 300/1 - 7 places
Wednesday, 7 February 2024
Challenge Tour / Cape Town Open 2024 - Royal Cape GC, Cape Town, South Africa
Selection
.5 pt e/w Mark Power @ 150/1 - 6 places
KFT/ Astara Championship 2024 - Country Club de Bogota-Lagos, Colombia
Selections
1 pt e/w J. Solomon @ 40/1 - 5 places
1 pt e/w S. Bennett @ 33/1 - 5 places
1 pt e/w R.Castillo @ 50/1 - 6 places
Tuesday, 6 February 2024
Qatar Masters 2024 - Doha GC, Qatar
Selections
1.5 pts e/w Pablo Larrazabal @ 40/1 - 7 places
1.5 pts e/w Frederic Lacroix @ 28/1 - 7 places
1.5 pts e/w Jorge Campillo @ 45/1 - 7 places
0.5 pts e/w Marcus Kinhult @ 150/1 - 7 places
1.5 pts e/w Frederic Lacroix @ 28/1 - 7 places
1.5 pts e/w Jorge Campillo @ 45/1 - 7 places
0.5 pts e/w Marcus Kinhult @ 150/1 - 7 places
Those on the shortlist who are left off the staking plan: Rozner- Ferguson - Hillier - Cockerill - Schaper - Otaegui - Winther (may regret leaving out) - Lorenzo-Vera - Cabrera-Bello -Hoshino
Phoenix Open 2024 - TPC Scottsdale, Phoenix Arizona
It's now 176 selections since the last winner (Lucas Herbert @ ISPS Handa Championship) for the blog and the last 2 weeks have summed it up really! It's getting to be quite frustrating. I was delighted the final round was cancelled at Pebble as all 3 players played themselves out of it on Saturday....yet again ! Connor Syme went in reverse Saturday also when seemingly playing well...and to make matters worse, Frittelli was on the shortlist. So was Clark !
I looked at win only and TOP-10/TOP-20 a few years ago and it's now back on the agenda if I should go this way again, but I got the staking plan totally wrong the last time. Will keep as it is now until end of February before deciding if I will change approach.
I'll soldier on so....
Selections
3 pts e/w Justin Thomas @ 10/1 - 8 places
1.5 pts e/w Hideki Matsuyama @ 33/1 - 8 places
1.5 pts e/w Rickie Fowler @ 55/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w Taylor Montgomery @ 100/1 - 8 places
1.5 pts e/w Rickie Fowler @ 55/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w Taylor Montgomery @ 100/1 - 8 places
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