A very competitive field assembling here in Hamburg this week where the DP Tour continues to see lower ranked golfers at the top of the markets each week. Finding value each week is getting harder on this tour and has alluded to a few weeks ago, more emphasis needs to be put on those capable of a TOP-10/TOP-20. This sentiment hit hard last week where blog selection Romain Langasque finished T2nd, Finau went from T-2 after 54 to finish behind Lee Hodges in 17th! Max McGreevy was backed in Knoxville....finished T-2nd! I've given up counting how many selections have been put up since my last tournament winner for the blog.
From an original shortlist of 36 players I managed to get it down to 12 for the outright then went back to look at potential TOP-10s. A couple of players that dropped off the outright shortlist being too short but come into the TOP10 betting are; Hao Tong Li,Thriston Lawrence, Dan Bradbury and Julien Guerrier. I have left them out but noted them here (13.50 , 6.60 , 10.50 & 11.00 respectively)
I want to back Jordan Smith here but he simply doesn't contend often enough and the 22/1 about a player that has only won twice on tour doesn't encourage an investment but his course fit screams a bet! As a punter, I may very well have lost my ability in the game as I get hung up on value & price and would probably prefer to revert to purely judging form & course attributes for this tour, and so finalized my shortlist as per below with a view to getting some momentum going forward and seeing how the TOP-10 markets can help limit the pain of such a long drawdown.
I'll stick with each-way approach on the PGA Tour for now, whilst there is no liquidity at all on the LPGA, Challenge & KFT tours for anything other than each way. Even the Women's US Open this week on Betfair shows very little action (Nellie being the reason?)
Selections
WIN ONLY (4 pts)
.5 pts E.Ferguson @ 95.00
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