Tuesday, 15 January 2013

Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship - 2013

We were so close to a 40/1 winner on Sunday when Scott Jamieson came up a shot short in the Volvo Championship in Durban. Former Open champion, Louis Oosthuizen proving one too many. Still we wont complain with the place money at 10/1. Over in Hawaii, a level par 3rd round put paid to any chance of Matt Kuchar winning and he finished tied 5th giving us very small place money with 2/3 reduction for the tie. With golf betting, if we can keep the bank tidy with some place returns, the winners will provide the bonus. We were so close last week!
 So, onto this weeks events. The World Number One is in action in Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship alongside Tiger Woods, course specialist, Martin Kaymer, Jason Dufner, Justin Rose and co. The very fact that Rory and Tiger are here would suggest this could be dominated by the big guns so the staking plan will take some consideration before deciding on where to place our money here. Rory comes here with his new clubs. I have to pay for mine but boy what a deal for Rory to use Nike from hereon in. The questions are being asked if he can produce the goods with the new clubs and the simple answer to that is most definitely. Over in the US PGA, the Humana Challenge takes place in pro-am format over 3 courses. Its this type of event that I normally stay away from but we will include a couple of players and great odds who could surprise.
 So for the Abu Dhabi event, course specialist, Martin Kaymer has come in the betting already since yesterday (16s into 10s!). We have missed the boat perhaps but is the 10/1 still value? 3 times a winner, and two seconds suggest you would be mad to leave him out this week. I do like the chances of Justin Rose and when weighing up the options, is 10/1 on Kaymer better value than 16/1 on Rose? With Rory heading the betting at 5/1 and Tiger at 17/2, Kaymer does still give us value at 10s, but only for a win bet. If you do prefer an e/w alternative I would suggest Justin Rose at 16/1. Rose played well towrds the end of 2012 and does tend to play well when back on European Tour. This could be a very big year for the Englishman too.
Speaking of Englishmen and expectant good 2013, Paul Casey has shown recent signs that his game is coming back to near his best. There is probably no better course than here this week to judge exactly where his game is at. Twice a winner here proves he has a taste for this course but two top 25s here in 2011 & 2010 when he was not having a good time of it do suggest that the course will bring out his best. At 30/1 I am happy to include him on the staking plan this week.
My third pick is Jamie Donaldson at 66/1.(60/1 best price for bookies offering 6 places this week, see below). Probably didn't get the result he was looking for last week in Durban but he did hit a lot of birdies there and if he can cut out the mistakes he could go well here as he has done in the past. Following his win at Royal Portrush for the Irish Open last year, the Welshman has moved up a tier and he will be looking forward to this one up against top quality players. 66/1 or 60/1 cannot be ignored.

Just to add, if you do follow these tips and secure a payout, please check out the "Big Bet" in aid of Great Ormond Street Hospital (GOSH) over at http://www.manvsbookie.com/the-big-bet.html, where just the smallest of donations is being pooled to create a big bet in aid of sick children.

Good luck to all.

TIP 1: 2 pts win M.Kaymer @ 10/1- general

TIP 2: 1 pt e/w P.Casey @ 30/1 (Betpack, Stanjames and Paddypower paying 6 places)

TIP 3: 1pt e/w J.Donaldson @ 66/1 or 60/1 (6 places) - I am taking 60/1 with Betpack

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