Wednesday, 28 August 2013

Deutsche Bank Championship 2013 - TPC Boston

The second of the FedEx Cup Playoffs starts on Friday at TPC Boston with a Monday finished to link in with Labor Day in the States. This blog is hoping for a better outcome this weekend, when things were looking very positive after 54 holes in Jersey last week before Matt Kuchar's incredible collapse meant no returns again. Webb Simpson continued in much the same vein as in previous weeks, threatening to challenge before throwing in a round to leave him out of contention. He did manage a TOP15 though and this augurs well for this week on a course where he won two years ago. Yet to win on tour this season, Simpson cannot be abandoned this week and the 28/1 on offer has to be taken.  As mentioned in recent posts, I believe its just a matter of when Webby clicks for ALL 4 rounds and goes in and wins! I'm hoping its this week.

Jason Day
I do like Adam Scott's chances obviously this week on a course that he won on back in 2003 and has in the last 4 years finished no worse than 8th. Winner last week (somehow!) he is bidding to become the first since Vijay Singh to win this along with The Barclays in consecutive weeks. 12/1 is a tad short but is still decent enough in the reduced field of 100 players. Whilst very tempted to side with the Adelaide native, I am instead going to take the each way about another Aussie who also likes TPC Boston and a player, like Simpson who is seeking his first win of the season, and that's Jason Day @ 33/1. It will be a birdie fest of sorts this week where the par 71, 7300 yd course will see scoring on the par 5s as being crucial for the eventual champion to succeed. Day fits this requirement to a tee and recent Sunday charges indicates that he's bursting to get that "W". He's a big event player and Monday next could well be his "Day".

My third selection is big hitting Dustin Johnson, who is now relaxed, refreshed and raring to go following his
DJ with fiancée Paulina Gretzky
recent engagement. He's been quiet lately, hopefully due to "other things on his mind" and recent course form suggests that TPC Boston is to his liking also.

He started the season well before injury sidelined him for a while and even though his performances have been good there has been no sign of the next win. This week could change all that, he's in a new place, and starting to hit form and that course experience will stand him well this week.

33/1 is too big for a player of his calibre and I'm very happy to include him on my staking plan.

I'm adding Martin Kaymer again @ 80/1 for smaller stakes. He went well for 36 holes last week before a terrible opening 6 holes on Saturday saw him drop down the field. Those 2 rounds and recent form beforehand cannot be ignored. He just needs a bloody good result under his belt to kick on. Has an afternoon start/ early start on Friday/Saturday and with no weather delays forecasted, he can move up the rankings and get his ticket for the BMW Championship where the TOP 70 advance . He needs a very good showing here to do so, the PGA Tour website predicts he needs a TOP 25. Better still, if he can get amongst the leaders on Monday he may just grab a TOP 5 or that much needed win and he'll soon be heading for the Tour Championship as well. Besides, the sponsor would love to see the winning cheque being reinvested back in the homeland and boost German golf.

TIP 1: 1 pt e/w W.Simpson @ 28/1 Paddypower

TIP 2: 1 pt e/w J.Day @ 28/1 Betpack

TIP 3: 1 pt e/w D.Johnson @ 35/1 Betpack

TIP 4: 0.5 pts e/w M.Kaymer @ 80/1 Betpack

* This tourney does not start til Friday. If placing a bet on Thursday watch out for Betpack and Stan James  who are TOP PRICE on the tournament between 11 AM and 7 PM

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