The second of the 3-event Canaries Swing sees yet another short course in operation this week when the European returns to Golf Costa Adeje for the first time since 2003 when the Open de Espana was held here. Market leader, Antoine Rozner joins the swing this week but unfortunately, Wil Besseling has had to withdraw having positive for covid-19. A windy birdie-fest seems to be on the cards again this week so the approach is to stick with players in form that are hitting greens and sinking putts...i.e. players that are scoring well. The difference this week is that we have 6no. Par-3s and 5no. Par-5s so those who are striking irons well and playing par-3s well must be considered.
I put up Alejandro Canizares last week based on recent form and was surprised his price stood up. He was never winning after a tame opening round but he did play well thereafter eventually finishing 38th albeit a long way back from Higgo. That means his price is still value this week and I'm happy to go again based on same reasoning as last week @ 100/1 - 7 places. Whilst par-3 scoring rankings show little gains being achieved to the field, the Spaniard has been scoring well on par-5s and if he starts better this week we should see a decent run from him.
Having put up Thorbjorn Olesen twice already this year only to see him withdrawn on both occasions due to covid-19, it was a little frustrating to see him place last week on his seasonal debut. His compatriot though, Joachim B Hansen has shown a level of consistency this and last year on the Challenge Tour to suggest he can put in another good result this week having finished 7th last week following a 9th place finish in Qatar. 28/1 - 6 places is probably the lowest I'd take him at but the consistency suggests he is worth chancing this week.
Guido Migliozzi was 15th last week to post his 3rd T-20 in his 7 starts this year on the European Tour. his 2nd place finish in Qatar the highlight losing out to Antoine Rozner despite a closing 65 at a windy Doha. At 33/1 he too is on the limit but feel this is a good week for him and he's included on the staking plan for me.
Two players who did present some value to me this week are players I've backed recently in the forms of Dean Burmester and Marcus Armitage. The latter is playing solid enough of late with a 4th in Austria and 10th in Kenya and @ 50/1 - 7 places for this field strength he does have a chance. The South African is hot n cold but the course this week should be to his liking where his aggressive play could be to an advantage. He's as good as anyone in this field and probably is a little overpriced @ 50/1 - 6 places too.
Not an awful lot of value I think this week, so reduced stakes for me with 5 players unusually for me on the staking plan taking 7 places where I can and 6 in others.
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