Wednesday 28 April 2021

Valspar Championship 2021 - Innsbrook, Palm Harbour, Florida

 A tough examination awaits the players this week at the Valspar Championship where Copperhead has proved over the years to be one of the toughest courses on the PGA Tour. Accuracy off the tee and ball striking from the fairway are the order of the week and its nice to see the top two in world golf, Dustin Johnson & Justin Thomas tee it up, with both looking to improve on recent form. Thomas, despite winning at Sawgrass won't contend here this week if he drives the way he has been doing the past 6 weeks or so. The tightness should refocus him in this department but both he and DJ are no-bets this week at the prices.

I enjoy watching this event more from a golfing perspective than a betting one but I am having an interest in the shape of, yet again, Adam Hadwin along with Kevin Kisner. The latter has refocused his approach to tournaments on the tour in that he feels he can only compete at certain courses but does admit he will play at longer courses as ".....because they give a lot of money for 20th". He hasn't contended here much in his 3 visits (a best of 24th on last visit in 2019) and he has failed to make the cut in his last 3 events so he's not altogether a confident selection but his price accounts for this @ 70/1 - 8 places. Its just a tentative play here for me this week in the outright with a TOP-20 also a play @ 5.00

Hadwin though is of interest - having backed him a couple of time already this year, the conclusion is that he tends to fare better on these high-scoring events and the hope is that he does the same again this week. The winner here in 2017 and T12th when defending was followed up by a mc in 2019, so he is comfortable here and can improve on his T-25 in Texas last month and T-10 at The Honda previously @ 80/1 - 8 places.


Selections

0.5 pts e/w A. Hadwin @ 80/1 - 8 places
0.5 pts e/w K. Kisner @ 70/1 - 8 places
2 pts TOP-20 K. Kisner @ 5.00

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