Change in tactics !! as per introduction for the Andalucia Masters preview, I am not taking players into consideration that simply don't win at odds lower than 50 -60s! I'm simply not getting enough placings in the bank and last week's Open de France summed it up for me. That said I was amazed that I actually had three players on my staking plan that Ben Coley also tipped up (at better odds too I might add) yet his last pick, Dan Bradbury went in @ 160/1 - Boy could I have done with that!
As I write this post I have noted that prices I looked at last night have come in and low and behold, Mr. Coley has 3 players again this week that were on last night's shortlist but rather than just going in and following Ben, I have to consider the prices now and have therefore dropped Eric Cole (I don't see any value in less than 50s), Cam Davis ( I'd want 60s+ lads!) and Chad Ramey (I had him 125s) . This is isn't the first time I've been keen on some players only to see their prices slashed due to Ben's preview and whilst frustrating, and I can't knock him, it does make it tougher to get the "value" come Tuesday or Wednesday. However, I'll take some positives (I need to) ; I'm zeroing in on the right players, if Ben is putting up players that are indeed on my final shortlist, I must be doing something right...just need to get some returns now)
I like TPC Summerlin and this event ! I'm +44.73 pts for the event having only played it since 2020 (4 events) with Sungjae Im doing the business 4 years ago @ 33/1
Adam Hadwin likes it here too and I had him priced at 28/1 - 33/1, so the 40s has to be taken. The Canadian has returned results here of 2-10-6-34-4-27-mc-10 in his 8 visits. Indeed I was him last year (@ 40s) as too was I on Hadley & Dahmen who also placed, so I'm hoping to go one better in the winners enclosure and look for better returns on the podium.
I've reluctantly had to pass on Kizzire, Hadley, Poston, Pendrith,and Tom Hoge (really fancy his chances but not @ 28s) whilst Adam Schenk is a conundrum here , arrives with no form yet has a bunch of course form (4 TOP-20s in his 7 visits and perhaps the 11/2 should be looked at)
Selections
2.5 pts e/w A. Hadwin @ 40/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w G. Sigg @ 110/1 - 8 places
1.5 pts e/w D. Berger @ 50/1 8 places
0.5 pts e/w N. Xiong @ 300/1 - 8 places
No comments:
Post a Comment