Trophee Hassan 2019 - Selections

Date 25/04/2019
Event Trophee Hassan
Outlay 5.00
Return TBC



1.00 E/W B. Hebert (1/5 - 7 places) 67.00
1.00 E/W C. Sordet (1/5 - 8 places) 81.00
0.50 E/W G. Moynihan (1/5 - 8 places) 251.00

RBC Heritage 2019 - Hilton Head

I am quite keen on Matty Fitzpatrick and Kevin Streelman this week and have backed both each way (8 places) @ 36.00 and 101.00 respectively ( 2.50 pts e/w)

I've also played the 12 players below as per here with  options to trade if the opportunity presents itself over the weekend.

My Shortlist	Best Odds	Best Exchange	My Odds	My % Book	Probability	EV	Value (Y/N)
Jordan Spieth	23	28	15	6.67%	0.07	0.533	YES
Branden Grace	51	67	34	2.94%	0.03	0.500	YES
Ryan Moore	51	59	34	2.94%	0.03	0.500	YES
Graeme McDowell	56	74	41	2.44%	0.02	0.366	YES
Luke Donald	61	74	41	2.44%	0.02	0.488	YES
Kevin Kisner	29	32	34	2.94%	0.03	-0.431	NO
Matthew Fitzpatrick	36	39	34	2.94%	0.03	0.059	YES
Jim Furyk	34	39	51	1.96%	0.02	-0.333	NO
Daniel Berger	111	225	81	1.23%	0.01	0.370	YES
Kevin Streelman	101	216	81	1.23%	0.01	0.247	YES
Andrew Landry	126	255	81	1.23%	0.01	0.556	YES
Cameron Smith	56	78	251	0.40%	0.00	-0.777	NO

The Masters 2019

Sticking with virtually the same stable as last year.....adding Matt Fitzpatrick as I expect a good showing this year. If Rickie doesn't win, I think he can be TOP American for sure and there’s plenty of juice in the price for this market.

	Date	11/04/19			Total Outlay	19.50
	Event	The Masters			Total Returns	0.00
	Tour	PGA			P&L	-19.50
	Outlay	19.50			ROI	-100.00%
	Return	0.00
				14.50			0.00
	Stake	Player	Odds	Total Cost of Bet	Terms	Result	Returns
	2.00	J. Rose	15	4.00	e/w		0.00
	1.00	M. Kuchar	41	2.00	e/w		0.00
	1.25	P. Casey	29	2.50	e/w		0.00
	0.50	M. Fitzpatrick	111	1.00	e/w		0.00
	2.50	R. Fowler - Top USA (1-5 places)	11	5.00	e/w		0.00
				5.00			0.00
	Match Bets	Selection	Odds	Total Cost of Bet	Market	Result	Returns
	3.00	Lowry to bt O’Connell & Weir	1.7	3.00	Threeball RD-1		0.00
	2.00	Wise to bt Harding @ Cabrera	2.16	2.00	Threeball RD-1		0.00
							0.00
							0.00
							0.00

*updated 11/04/19 to include the two RD-1 threeball selections

Qatar Masters 2019 - Doha GC

More wind on the card this week as the Middle East Swing finishes up in Doha, Qatar on the Europeantour. Players that had to endure the shamal last Friday in Muscat will be hoping for just gales this week, but they can be assured of more than a breeze this week where Doha GC always provides! And with that in mind, the approach this week is pretty much the same as last week and history enforces that thinking as the Qatar Masters has continually rewarded those players that tend to play well at The Open or indeed other links courses on tour. Paul Lawrie has won twice here, as has Branden Grace and Adam Scott, and you could argue that Scott really should have at least one Claret Jug on his mantelpiece at home by now. Ernie Els and Henrik Stenson have won here, and if you consider Sergio Garcia, Thomas Bjorn and Retief Goosen who have also won here, and their Open form over the years, its easy to see the link. Last years victor, Eddie Pepperell has shown links form is vital for victory in Doha.

My initial shortlist threw up 24 players, of which I considered 8 to be of value. Gavin Moynihan duly obliged last week in the TOP-20 market and this week represents another week to make hay; links,wind and space off the tee. If its a links player we want, Gavin is must go-to player for me again. As with last week, I'll keep Chris Wood and Ross Fisher in the plan. Wood is a former winner here, well versed on both this course and indeed windy links tracks as too is Fisher. I appreciate Wood is coming back of injury but he's shaken off the cobwebs now and can dismiss last week easily given the conditions and make the 50s look silly. (Betfair though are offering 45/1 for 8 places in the each way market)Ross Fisher has been playing better than results have produced of late...he gets one more chance. I've perhaps made a mistake in leaving out Erik Van Rooyen & Joachim B Hansen and I also pondered whether to include Lucas Herbert, but I'll stick with the experienced English duo in the outrights.

Date	07/03/2019			Total Outlay	15.00
Event	Qatar Masters			Total Returns	0.00
Tour	EURO			P&L	-15.00
Outlay	10.00			ROI	-100.00%
Return	0.00
			10.00			0.00
Stake	Player	Odds	Total Cost of Bet	Terms	Result	Returns
1.00	C.Wood (1/5 - 8 places)	46.00	2.00	E/W		0.00
1.00	R.Fisher (1/5 - 8 places)	34.00	2.00	E/W		0.00
2.00	A. Canizares TOP-20	11.00	2.00	win		0.00
4.00	G.Moynihan TOP-20	7.50	4.00	win		0.00

Arnold Palmer Invitational

Date	07/03/2019
Event	Arnold Palmer Invitational
Tour	PGA
Outlay	5.00
Return	0.00
			5.00			0.00
Stake	Player	Odds	Total Cost of Bet	Terms	Result	Returns
2.5	R.Fowler (1/5 - 8 places)	13.00	5.00	E/W		0.00
						0.00
						0.00

Round-1 Threeballs

2.50 pts M. Southgate to bt Detry & Danthorp @ 3.00

J.B. Hansen to bt Schwab & Lorenzo-Vera @ 3.00