I had shortlisted Boo Weekley for this, he is twice winner here.(2007 & 2008) and comes into the week with some decent form. He has won just twice on tour- both here so its hard to take 33/1 for him to complete a hat-trick.
Another experienced player that has won twice here in the past (2000 & 2004) that does take my fancy @ 55/1 with Bet Victor
My second pick this week is also a former winner here and has shown a real liking for this course. he's also a player that may also be inspired to better things this week following his compatriots win at The Masters. Step forward Aaron Baddeley @ 50/1 with Paddypower. A brilliant putter, the Aussie should be excited to be playing here and comes in with decent form this season too. TOP20s at Texas and Pebble Beach and a TOP10 at the Farmers suggests his game is right for this. Although he missed the cut last year, the previous 6 years saw him finish no worse than 22nd with a win and 2 TOP 10s.
My final two picks are Martin Kaymer and Bob Estes. The German made the cut last week at Augusta (T 35th), a course that he has not performed well on in the past. Being a short course this week, Martin's length off the tee will not be of any advantage but his iron and short game could serve him very well here. This is his first full season on tour in America and he will be anxious to start producing some results. A quality player that cannot be ignored most weeks and if he gets a solid first round under his belt he could get stronger over the 4 days. 66/1 is enticing with Paddypower.
Bob Estes has made 6 cuts from 7 starts this year and comes here off the back of a TOP 10 in Texas. A hot and cold player who also has indifferent form at Harbour Town but there is enough to like about his season so far. His last 6 visits here resulted in 3 MCs and 13-24-22 finishes. Small stakes at 125/1 with Boylesports just about give me some value and is added to the staking plan as an outside chance.
TIP 1: 1 pt e/w S.Cink @ 55/1 Bet Victor
TIP 2: 1 pt e/w A.Baddeley @ 50/1 Paddypower
TIP 3: 0.5 pts e/w M.Kaymer @ 66/1 Paddypower
TIP 4: 0.5 pts e/w B.Estes @ 125/1 Boylesports
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