Tuesday, 18 June 2013

BMW International 2013 - Golfclub Munchen Eichenreid

After the excitement and the thrills of the 113th US Open at Merion, where the blog's tip, Justin Rose prevailed by 2 shots, our attention switches back to mainland Europe for the next few weeks on the European Tour. Some of those who played all 4 rounds at Merion will be in action in Munich where the event has quickly returned after a one year absence back to the Golfclub Munchen Eichereid, where Marcel Siem learnt his golf. But with Englishman, Justin Rose winning his first ever and Englands first Major since 1996, fellow Englishmen may be inspired this week in much the same vein as the Aussies did when Adam Scott won at Augusta. Indeed, the last 10 years of this tournament has seen 5 different players from England win and I have my eye on two of them here!

This is a forgiving course and measures just a little over 7100 yards. It does favour the big hitters yet there doesn't appear to be many players that have established a course relationship and with that in mind I am happy to take the one player in the field that has not only won here on this course in the past, but has done so twice. He is also a player that is gradually coming into some form and a player that will be anxious to keep doing so leading up to The Open. That player is Thomas Bjorn.
Now 42, the Dane last won this back in 2002 (also in 2000). Next week, Thomas travels to the Irish Open to be staged at Carton House where he won the last time the event was staged there so he will be very keen to play well this week ahead of that. Rested, he may gain an edge on those that had to endure the might of Merion over 4 days. Having almost won in Austria 2 weeks ago(2nd), following a T 4th in Sweden, Bjorn's results are progressive and he will be confident this week.

33/1 with represents value for me, given current & course form.

 My second pick this week is one of the aforementioned Englishmen. Paul Casey has not been on the podium for quite awhile following injury a couple of years back but his performances recently are indicating that it wont be long before he does. Superb play at Walton Heath,to qualify for Merion, was rewarded with an excellent effort in Pennsylvannia where he finished T45th despite a final round 79. A TOP 20 in Spain and a TOP 10 in China this season to complement last week's efforts, show us where his game is at and I feel Eichenreid might just be the course where he can feel confident on and produce 4 solid rounds.

Casey funny enough has produced some of his better results in BMW sponsored events so I'll clutch those straws too here.

Available at 50/1 with Betpack and , Justin Rose's victory could be the catalyst to kick start Paul Caseys career.

My third pick this week is another Englishman in the shape of Lee Slattery @ 100/1 with  .

The Southport man has not missed a cut in his last 13 tourneys. Those last 13 events have yielded a TOP 10 (last time out in Austria), 3 TOP 20s and 2 TOP 25s. A player that is simmering for a bloody good week, he will have good memories of this course where he was T9th in 2011 in a strong field.That year he also finished T5th in Austria so hopefully he can continue that trend and perhaps go and make a place or even add a second win on tour to his locker.

My final pick this week is Thomas Aiken @ 100/1 with  Betpack. When backing the South African, we have to remember this is a player that will probably either shoot a 63/64 or a 73/74. Its hard knowing when to be on side and indeed Aiken has not played well in this event the past couple of years but he's a recent winner in India, has plenty of talent, and can produce the goods any given week. Small stakes is the play for Thomas.

So thats it for this week's staking plan. It is a week where Martin Kaymer should be looking for that elusive win, but its just not happening for the German and although this is a differnt course than last year, Kaymer (who incidently won here before) may feel the added pressure to perform in his homeland this week. Dustin Johnson will be looking to ignite his season again and having course experience under his belt could go well but Merion exploits may just take something from him.

TIP 1 : 1 pt e/w T.Bjorn @ 33/1

TIP 2: 1 pt e/w P.Casey @ 50/1 Betpack.

TIP 3: 0.5 pts e/w L.Slattery @ 100/1

TIP 4: 0.5 pts e/w T.Aiken @ 100/1 Betpack

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