Wednesday 31 January 2018

Maybank Championship 2018 - Saujana GC, KL

Haotong Li heads back to Asia this week having held off Rory McIlroy in Dubai on Sunday and win the title, to compete in the co-sanctioned Maybank Championship to be played again at the Saujana GC. The Palm course is highly rated throughout Asia and last year's results suggest the accurate players are likely to perform the best. Defending Champion, Fabrizio Zanotti emphasizes this and we shouldn't be surprised to see Henrik Stenson head the market. His good mate, Justin Rose swooped in Asia last Autumn to win in Jakarta, and the "Iceman" will be keen to grab some perceived easy OWGR points. Malaysia has held a close affinity with Swedish golfers over the years as they visit during their winter time to practice and so perhaps some of his compatriots may have some edge here acclimatizing to the humidity and conditions. Mr Stenson doesn't always prevail when we expect him to,so he's easily passed this week in favour of some value down the market.

Marcus Fraser has not had the best of starts to 2018 and for that reason was omitted from my shortlist but it's worth noting he excelled here at The Eisenhower Trophy back in 2002 as alluded in my preview here twelve months ago. Players accustomed to playing in this part of the world must be considered and for that reason alone I've opted for players who have shown recent form in the region and decent prices.

My first selection is Korean, Jeunghun Wang @ 34.00. Ok, he missed the cut here last year by a shot,but 15th in Abu Dhabi followed up with T-6th in Dubai with the best bogey-avoidance stats in both events this month,augurs well for his chances in KL. He has shown before he can hold form and travelling back to Asia will be easier for him than some of his European peers and I am hoping the results improve again this week.

South African, Shaun Norris is a lovely price here @ 140.00 in the outright market and a general 51.00 each way chance, and 4.00 in the TOP20 (although I have noted 17.00 available with Skybet, SJ, and Betfred- surely these are palps?) 2nd recently to Sergio Garcia in Singapore came on the back of a TOP20 at Glendower and a T-3 at Joburg Open. Last time out he was 5th in Myanmar to climb to Number 102 in the World. He's in form, he's acclimatized and ready to pounce.

I put up  Scott Vincent in Abu Dhabi and duly "put the mockers" on him but I'm going in again here @ 110.00 / 4.00 (TOP20). His 71st placing in the Middle East may back up my strategy idea that players playing 3 weeks in a row must be getting tired and so with a week off, the hope is he tees it up this week fresh and ready to improve on finishes of 4-30-22 in his previous events.

Plenty of value about this week, so I've added a Swedish player in Alexander Bjork @ 67.00 e/w. Form is bang on, and having just missed out on victories recently he must be kept in the frame. 2nd in Hong Kong and T-6th in Dubai, it's a matter of time before he does go in and had strong showings in 2017 where he was 23/29 including 10 T-20s of which 2 were TOP-5s. He has 3 T-10s from his 4 starts already in 2018 and can't be left out at such a price.

Japanese stars, Ryo Ishikawa and Yuketa Ikeda are added @ 190.00 & 180.00 respectively on the exchange and included for TOP-20s @ 6.00s. Quality players who just appear to be overlooked this week but Ryo hasn't exactly been playing rubbish lately! He did miss the cut in Myanmar, but 16th in Singapore came after a bold effort last November at The Casio Open when closing with a 66 to finish 2nd. His compatriot, Ikeda does all his best work in Japan, having won 19 times on the JGTO but he may provide a trading opportunity this week if continuing solid form of late. He's chanced for a TOP-20 too. I've added them to my Draftking lineups so we'll see how that goes ! (I'm still learning the DFS game but having played a couple of weeks now I can see the attraction in the games, so will be putting more effort into DFS salaries going forward)


Staking Plan (12 pts)


StakePlayerOddsTotal Cost of BetTerms
1.00Jeunghun Wang34.002.00e/w
0.50Shaun Norris140.000.50win
0.50Alexander Bjork67.001.00e/w
0.50Scott Vincent110.000.50win
0.25Ryo Ishikawa190.000.25win
0.25Yuta Ikeda180.000.25win
1.50Shaun Norris - T204.001.50win
3.00Scott Vincent - T204.003.00win
1.50Ryo Ishikawa - T206.001.50win
1.50Yuta Ikeda - T206.001.50win

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