Wednesday 2 September 2020

Andalucia Masters 2020 - Valderrama GC

 We went close last week....very close with both Benjamin Hébert & Joaquin Niemann holding the lead at one stage on "back-9 Sunday". Whilst the Frenchmen in all honesty never looked like taking the title, he did play quite consistently over the four days. Perhaps a bit more aggressive golf might have got him over the line. Niemann on the other hand gave me a real sweat Sunday night but I can't complain, the drama that unfolded between Rahm & DJ on a fantastic Olympia Fields was really enjoyable. Let's hope we don't have to wait another 17 years for PGA action again there...it was a real Major feel last week! I did have an in-play bet on Bubba after RD-3 @ 50.00 and although it didn't happen quick enough for him on Sunday, there was a lot of positives to take from his form both here and the previous couple of tournaments so I've had added him to my Masters staking plan @ 55.00. With Augusta likely to play longer in early November than it does in April, the two time Masters Champion might just have an edge of his competitors in 2 months time.


I have no interest in the Tour Championship this week at East Lake. The FedEX Cup does not excite me one bit, never has and never will. The handicap system for the Tour Championship might seem like it could create such excitement but lets face it, they're all there for payday! DJ for me to take the FedEX Cup.


Valderrama hosts the Andalucia Masters this week unfortunately without Sergio Garcia, Jon Rahm and Rafael Cabrera-Bello due to COVID-19 travel restrictions etc. As the "UK Swing" and the "European Tour bubble" moves on to The Iberian Pensinsula for this and the next two weeks, it will be interesting to see if the form holds as it seemed to do in the "UK Swing". Valderrama though, is one of the courses that needs to be figured out, or in simple terms needs a player to have past experience on to excel here or win on. The market is headed by last week's champion, Rasmus Hogaard, Martin Kaymer and recent English Championship winner, Andy Sullivan with Belgian, Thomas Detry , who has had two runner-up finishes in his last 3 starts. Aside from the betting angle, I really do hope Martin Kaymer can notch up a win soon....form is temporary, class is permanent. Maybe this week!

I have two selections that I think could go very well this week. Both Scotsman! Calum Hill and Conor Syme are in great form.....the latter is 10/12 events this season posting 7no. TOP-20s! (5*TOP-10/ 2*TOP-5). He currently ranks 5th in GIR stats on tour, a great stat to bring to Valderrama not to mention 28th in the scrambling stats, a trait needed here. 40/1 is OK 

Calum Hill looks to continue his recent form here following back to back TOP-10s the past two weeks. Similar to Syme, hes 8/12 this season with 4 TOP-20s. Whilst Conor is strong off the tee in terms of accuracy, if Hill can bring his recent form into Thursday's opening round he may just improve further and make the 66/1 - 7 places silly come Sunday evening.


Jason Scrivener and Paul Waring came close to inclusion and I'll be keeping an eye on their scoring Thursday for a potential in-play bet 


Selections

1.5 pts e/w C. Syme @ 40/1 - 7 places
1.5 pts e/w C. Hill @ 66/1 - 7 places


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