Wednesday 9 September 2020

Portugal Masters- Ana Inspiration - Safeway Open 2020

 It was another very close thing last week, when Connor Syme took the first round lead at Valderrama and stayed in contention the weekend to eventually double bogey the 72nd hole and fall one shot short of a place payout. It meant a loss of course for the week, but taking the positives, its good to have contenders the past few weeks, meaning I must be looking in the right places. It was gut wrenching also to see Martin Kaymer come up short again as he seeks to stop the winless run. He will win soon.


As mentioned in previous posts, recent selections have been kept onside in the staking plans with one or two having received the chop in between. One of those was Wil Besseling but having notched a TOP-5 last week he has to return to the staking plan this week. The Dutchman is 8/11 events this season with 4 TOP-20s of which 3 are TOP-5s! He tops the SG:OTT rankings presently, and sits in the top-20 for accuracy too gaining almost 6 shots on the field. He leads the GIR stats too, gaining 9 shots, and if he has the putter anyway warm this week he could be in for a good one. 50/1 7-places

 Marcus Armitage duly performed the week after I dropped him from the staking plan last month but I'm keen to chance him here again. He's widely available @ 80/1 7-places. The Englishman had a TOP-20 on his last visit to Dom Pedro GC three years ago and arrives on the back of a mc in Andalucia but a TOP-10 at The Belfry and a brace of TOP-20s at The English Championships and Hero Open.


Lastly, I will add Ashun Wu & Chris Paisley (who I was on last month also) to the plan. I've opted for Wu over American, Johannes Veerman who should find Dom Pedro up his alley this week and can improve on his eye-catching TOP-10 at Valderrama. However at 55/1 I will pass and instead get with the Chinese player @ 80/1 7 places. Wu was 7th here three years ago, 44th the following year. He played "OK" last week and is sure to find a visit here more to his liking than last week. The price is too big to ignore for someone. He posted two TOP-15s before lockdown in Mauritius & Riyadh as well as a TOP-10 in Dubai so with a tourney under his belt,he could be ready to go!Chris Paisley has Dom Pedro form-line of 5-12-5 for his last 3 visits...he has strong course form and his price is more than fair @ 45/1 6 places.


Ana Inspiration

Over at Mission Hills GC, the 2nd Ladies Major takes place this week without the defending champion Jin Young Ko due to COVID-19 travel implications. I have to chance Kydia Ko here this week though at a course the kiwi has won on before and who is showing she is almost back to her very best when , lets face it, she should have won the Marathon Classic last month , finishing 2nd. She posted back to back TOP-15s in her next two stats in Scotland, before closing with a nice 66 LTO in Arkansas. At 25/1 5-places she may give us a run for our money here


Safeway Open


The new PGA Tour season gets underway this week for 2021. The PGA have dubbed the new season as "Super Season" with 50 events in the schedule. It will be strange to see the 2020 US Open and Masters being staged before the year is out though.

Two selections here for me; Mark Hubbard (again sticking with a player we have been on in recent weeks) and Bud Cauley. Hubbard racked up 7 TOP-20s last season with a TOP-20 posted recently at the Wyndham Championship. Both 50/1 7 places


Selections

1 pt e/w W. Besseling @ 50/1 (1/5 - 7 places)
0.75 pts e/w M. Armitage @ 80/1 (1/5 - 7 places)
1 pt e/w C. Paisley @ 45/1 (1/5 - 7 places)
0.75 pts e/w A. Wu @ 80/1 (1/5 - 7 places)
1.25 pts e/w L. Ko @ 25/1 - (1/4 - 5 places)
0.75 pts e/w M. Hubbard @ 50/1 (1/5 - 7 places)
0.75 pts e/w B. Cauley @ 50/1 (1/5 - 7 places)

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