Just a 54 hole tournament this week on the Europeantour and a Saturday to Monday event as well. Strict German covid-19 protocols means the Tour has had to make last minute preparations to accommodate the event, a credit to all involved in making it happen.
Paul Casey and Abraham Ancer head the market but its last week's winner, Bernd Wiesberger and Austrian Matthias Schwab that are of more interest to me here with the latter taken to outplay his odds. Schwab is yet to win on tour but its not from a lack of trying. 5 TOP10s from his 10 starts this year to go along with his strong 2019 form that saw him rise to 79 in the world before a disjointed 2020 stopped the progress, the 26 year old arrives in Hamburg this week knowing he went very close when finishing just a solitary shot behind the winner, Paul Casey, the last time we were here in 2019. The same year he lost out in a 6-man playoff having been the last contender to winner Tyrell Hatton at the 4th extra hole. As he rounds into some consistent form again in 2021 having posted 4 TOP-10s in his last 6 tournaments, the elusive first time win can't be far away and @ 20/1 - 6 places he's value relative to the field for me
Nino Bertasio completes my staking plan at long odds;150/1 - 6 places. The Italian has shown some signs that a good week is not too far way either, with 3 T_20s from his 11 starts, he can be chanced at the odds here too with the hope that his strong SG:APR stats come to the fore. With just 54 holes to be played this week, a shock result could materialize and the Italian is the pick to do so
Selections
0.5 pts e/w N. Bertasio @ 150/1 - 6 places
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