Wednesday 3 May 2023

Italian Open 2023 - Marco Simone GC - Rome, Italy

 Very frustrating week in Korea where Jannik Paul looked to be in pole position (he was) after 36 holes before a poor "moving day" Saturday saw him move out of contention yet somehow came back into it briefly on Sunday before capitulating again. Still, the course proved to be a winner and he can take positives away from the first two days performance.

Onto a rescheduled Italian Open this week (from Sept to May) as the Ryder Cup will be hosted by this week's Marco Simone GC outside Rome in September. It means we don't have the strong field that we had here ~8 months ago as the elevated event at Quail Hollow understandably is a bigger incentive for the European leading players this week on the PGA Tour.

It's a short week with Monday gone a Public Holiday that centres around family time so this post is a bit later but the work has been done and a 15-man shortlist was finalized as per below, ending with the subsequent staking plan. Emphasis was put on SG:APR & SG:T2G and I'm very keen to see how Thorbjorn Olesen goes this week whilst Ockie Strydom appears to be the value of the week having won two DPT titles already this year! Yannik Paul gets another chance and I'm revisiting Jason Scrivener and Richard Mansell who should find the course to their liking.

My ShortlistBET365 OddsBest OddsBest ExchangeMy Odds
Nicolai Hojgaard171918.719
Robert MacIntyre21212419
Adrian Meronk19212215
Victor Perez23212626
Thorbjorn Olesen31293426
Yannik Paul34363834
Joost Luiten34364241
Jorge Campillo34364041
Marcus Helligkilde36364046
Adrian Otaegui46466456
Richard Mansell41465341
Romain Langasque51566351
Marcel Siem81101108151
Jason Scrivener91101137201
Ockie Strydom176176230101


Selections

2 pts e/w T. Olesen @ 30/1 - 8 places
2 pts e/w Y. Paul @ 30/1  - 8 places
1.5 pts e/w R. Mansell @ 40/1 - 8 places
0.75 pts e/w J. Scrivener @110/1 - 8 places
0.50 pts e/w O. Strydom @ 175/1 - 8 places


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