Tuesday 10 January 2023

Sony Open 2023 - Waialae GC, Hawaii

 Let's hope for better luck this week following Collin Morikawa's collapse last Sunday when he looked like banking our first winner of the year. Whilst watching the final round  I did have that strange feeling he wouldn't win and before the first bogey @ 14, those doubts were very real as Jon Rahm was fully in the zone and Collin was "nervous". We can look at Collin Morikawa in the future in two ways: his price will give us "value" or he's a choker and may not be able to shake two recent "chokes" and therefore he will become a "no-bet" until he does make amends. by showing the bottle required to seal the deal. A two-time Major winner and a superb ball striker, I'm not writing him off but I never thought Martin Kaymer wouldn't win again following his collapse in Abu Dhabi but it does happen. He is a quality player, has a strong mindset but for now, for me, it appears he choked, (that chip shot on 15!) and he'll need to convince me before backing with again.


My ShortlistBet365 odds (less places)Best OddsBest ExchangeMy Odds
Tom Kim131312.813
Sungjae Im151516.715
Hideki Matsuyama171719.617
Jordan Spieth191517.719
Russell Henley21212421
Harris English56567429
Brian Harman26263136
Si Woo Kim41414334
Gary Woodland61516436
Emiliano Grillo46515961
Adam Svensson81818891
David Lingmerth161201245101
J.T. Poston76677491
Alex Smalley51566491
Jimmy Walker601751490111
Patton Kizzire8191157111
Ryan Palmer11112698111
Keith Mitchell363639151
Taylor Montgomery293439151
Kazuki Higa126201245151
Max McGreevy4011001490251

My Shortlist - 20 man + my man, Max McGreevy

From the shortlist above, I've settled on 4 players. (I tried to back English in a PP shop last night,19:30 @ 50/1 but he was down to 40s, went to Boyles & The Track and same....before checking Sporting Life to see if Ben Coley had tipped and sure enough he had- some price mover these days to be fair to him but I'll need to work on this if maintaining the value from my list. I got 45s this afternoon with Ladbrokes - being red/green deficient in colour blindness, it did give me a bit of a headache walking the door! I won't complain if I need to revisit Monday!) I passed on Henley who I was rather keen on before best price 20/1 turned me off, Brian Harman & Tom Kim and Sungjae Kim. I may rue leaving out David Lingmerth as there is a good bit of value to be had perhaps but I'll stick with the 4 below:

Selections:


1.5 pts e/w H.English @ 45/1 - 8 places
1.5 pts e/w S.W.Kim @ 40/1 - 8 places
1.5 pts e/w G.Woodland @ 50/1 - 8 places
0.5 pts e/w M. McGreevy @ 500/1 - 8 places


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