Alfred Dunhill Championship 2024 - Leopard Creek, Madelene, South Africa

Selection:

 2.5 pts e/w Christiaan Bezuidenhout @ 11/1 - 8 places

RSM Classic 2024 - Sea Island

 Selections

1 pt e/w R. Hisatsune @ 125/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w L. Hodges @ 110/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w J. Highsmith @ 70/1 - 8 places

Australian PGA Championship 2024

Selections

.75 pts E/W J. Buchanan @ 150/1 - 8 places

.50 pts E/W D. Ieremia @ 500/1 - 6 places

1 pt      E/W N. Voke @ 125/1 - 8 places 

WWT Championship 2024 - EL CARDONAL AT DIAMANTE LOS CABOS ,MEXICO

 Selections

.25 pts WIN L. List @ 160.00
.25 pts WIN C. Champ @ 150.00
.25 pts WIN N. Xiong @ 280.00

5 pts TOP-20 L. List @ 5.90

5 pts TOP-20 C. Champ @6.00

5 pts TOP-20 N. Xiong @ 7.60

Abu Dhabi Championship 2024 - Yas Links, Abu Dhabi, UAE

 Selections

.25 pts WIN K. Nakajima @ 100/1
.25 pts WIN J. Winther @ 100/1

5 pts TOP-20 K. Nakajima @ 3.60

5 pts TOP-20 J. Winther @ 4.00

Toto Japan Classic (LPGA) 2024 - Otsu-shi, Shiga, Japan

 Selection

1.5 pts E/W Jin Hee Im @ 30/1 - 5 places

Genesis Championship 2024 - Jack Nicklaus GC, Incheon, South Korea

I really don't know anymore! Julien Guerrier goes in just 2 weeks after I backed him. And Jordan Smith places having decided he's not a winner. I don't mind Smith placing as the return won't pay in the long term but to see the Frenchman win just about sums up my golf betting these days. All week I thought Veerman was going to go close and definitely place but in true Sunday fashion for me of late, he decided with 9 holes to play he may as well throw in a couple of doubles! No return in Andalucia despite all 3 players finishing TOP-20

In Las Vegas it was more or less the same in a weather affected event. I thought Hadwin was overpriced but he played like a player who should have been priced even higher so I may have missed some news on his status before the off but have no idea. Xiong and Sigg decided to join Berger in doing nothing Sunday to complete a weekend to forget!

Just the one selection in Korea and I'm backing a 22yr old local Yubin Yang @ 55/1 - 8 places. A recent winner (Busan Open), his strong driving will be an asset on a Jack Nicklaus design and think he's worth a go on home soil

Selection

2.5 pts e/w Yubin Jang @55/1 - 8 places

Shriners Children's Open 2024 - TPC Summerlin, Las Vegas

 Change in tactics !! as per introduction for the Andalucia Masters preview,  I am not taking players into consideration that simply don't win at odds lower than 50 -60s! I'm simply not getting enough placings in the bank and last week's Open de France summed it up for me. That said I was amazed that I actually had three players on my staking plan that Ben Coley also tipped up (at better odds too I might add) yet his last pick, Dan Bradbury went in @ 160/1 - Boy could I have done with that! 

As I write this post I have noted that prices I looked at last night have come in and low and behold, Mr. Coley has 3 players again this week that were on last night's shortlist but rather than just going in and following Ben, I have to consider the prices now and have therefore dropped Eric Cole (I don't see any value in less than 50s), Cam Davis ( I'd want 60s+ lads!) and Chad Ramey (I had him 125s) . This is isn't the first time I've been keen on some players only to see their prices slashed due to Ben's preview and whilst frustrating, and I can't knock him, it does make it tougher to get the "value" come Tuesday or Wednesday. However, I'll take some positives (I need to) ; I'm zeroing in on the right players, if Ben is putting up players that are indeed on my final shortlist, I must be doing something right...just need to get some returns now)

I like TPC Summerlin and this event ! I'm +44.73 pts for the event having only played it since 2020 (4 events) with Sungjae Im doing the business 4 years ago @ 33/1

Adam Hadwin likes it here too and I had him priced at 28/1 - 33/1, so the 40s has to be taken. The Canadian has returned results here of 2-10-6-34-4-27-mc-10 in his 8 visits. Indeed I was him last year (@ 40s) as too was I on Hadley & Dahmen who also placed, so I'm hoping to go one better in the winners enclosure and look for better returns on the podium.

I've reluctantly had to pass on Kizzire, Hadley, Poston, Pendrith,and Tom Hoge (really fancy his chances but not @ 28s) whilst Adam Schenk is a conundrum here , arrives with no form yet has a bunch of course form (4 TOP-20s in his 7 visits and perhaps the  11/2 should be looked at)

Selections

2.5 pts e/w A. Hadwin @ 40/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w G. Sigg @ 110/1 - 8 places
1.5 pts e/w D. Berger @ 50/1 8 places
0.5 pts e/w N. Xiong @ 300/1 - 8 places

Andalucía Masters 2024 - Real Club de Golf Sotogrande

 It's quite remarkable how many tour players simply will never win much in their careers! There are a number of journeymen levels within the DP Tour and it's something I must now need to factor into pricing. Place money 1/4 or 1/5 odds for a player that "doesn't win" needs to account for such players. Jordan Smith is one of the most consistent players on the DPT the past 2 seasons but his returns read differently for the punter; 

Events played this year - 24
WINS : 0
TOP-5s : 3

TOP-10s: 4

TOP-20s: 7

MCs : 6

Total Prize Money : €994,513.44 (will have passed the €1M after Paris paycheck ~€40K)

Ranking : 21st

Events Played in 2023 - 27

WINS: 0

TOP-5s : 2

TOP-10s: 4

TOP-20s: 12

MCs : 5

Total Prize Money : €1.4M

Ranking : 27th

The 34 year old has won twice on the tour, 2017 & 2022 in Germany & Portugal 

What price should he have been and what should he be going forward? The Open de France market was lead by Billy Horschel, the recent winner at Wentworth and an 8-time winner on the PGA tour - he was best priced 12/1, Smith who I backed was 20/1, now in hindsight not such a clever bet. Irrespective of field, Jordan Smith is not a bet @ 20s is he? But in my review of this bet, I have noted that the astute, Ben Coley also backed him @ 25/1 citing his strong T2G game especially at Le Golf National. Indeed I had noted his form figures; 2-7-54-21-30 but his recent form of 1 x T-10 and 3 x T-20s in his last 5 events is what made me pull the trigger....he needs to be minimum 50s in a field like this going forward.....that said there are many players that continuously produce TOP-20s, it's finding those @ triple figures that I need to look at with a 1 pt e/w @ 100/1 placing being a much better prospect knowing the win element is all but forlorn. 

The remaining events will see stronger fields ; Mr. Smith won't be winning but I'll be watching the price to see if they double (I still won't be on). With Smith finishing T13th he again has produced a solid journeyman paycheck for himself but of no use to a punter looking for a player to outplay his odds. But is value in a golf market really there ? The young lads over the pond are much better value than the current stock on the DP Tour. Do we just back Nicolai Hojgaard every time hes 20/1 +  in a "normal field"? Indeed, is Matteo Mannasero a player to be onside @ 33s given he's really back in form of late ? Both winners; if they start well they surely contend for the reminder of the week ? Johannes Veerman looks to be one of those players that likes to get "into the zone" as his up & down to make the cut last week was followed up by 63-67 to finish T-8th shows. He was ranked 2nd T2G last week too so the 55s for 8 places this week does interest me (it's not triple figures but its value for me as I had him @ 40s)- yes he missed the cut here 12 months ago but he's returning to form; 8 T-20s this year on the tour from 24 starts has seen 6 of those end up inside the TOP-10 and I really like his chances this week. 

Selections

2 pts e/w N. Højgaard @ 50/1 - 8 places

2 pt e/w M. Mannasero @ 33/1 - 8 places

1.5 pts e/w J. Veerman @ 55/1 - 8 places

Black Desert Championship 2024 - Black Desert Resort, Ivans, Utah

Selections

1.5 pts e/w P. Fshburn @ 30/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w M. McGreevy @ 70/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w J. Bridgeman @ 55/1 - 8 places

Open de France 2024 - Le Golf National, Paris

 I'm trying to salvage the bank as we enter the final couple of months of 2024 across both DPT & PGA tours but it is proving to be a challenge needless to say as the worse year by my records continues. However, Le Golf National does give me some hope this week where course form coupled with some recent form should see a run for my money...I hope!

I managed to finalize an 8-man shortlist from the 129 listed entries I had, noting 126 tee it up. although both Nico Colsaerts & Jeff Winther in my view represent no value here for me, not does Yannik Paul despite his strong course form. 

Player	My Shortlist	BET365 Odds	Best Odds	Best Exchange	My Odds
Jordan Smith	Current Form	23	21	26	19
Thorbjørn Olesen	Multi	26	23	27	21
Yannik Paul	Course	46	41	47	56
Alex Fitzpatrick	Current Form	46	46	59	51
Guido Migliozzi	Multi	51	51	59	41
Adrian Otaegui	Multi	56	51	64	41
Nicolas Colsaerts	2nd LTO	91	91	118	101
Jeff Winther	Course	101	101	118	91

Selections

2.5 pts e/w J. Smith @ 20/1 - 8 places

2.5 pts e/w T. Olesen @ 22/1 - 8 places

1.5 pts e/w G. Migliozzi @ 50/1 - 8 places

1.5 pts e/w A. Otaegui @ 50/1 - 8 places

Open de Espana 2024 - Club de Campo Villa de Madrid, Madrid, Spain

Shocking effort last week where for the 3rd time this year I was feeling quite bullish about Frederic Lacroix before the off! However its 3/3 missed cuts when selecting the Frenchman. Will be hard to consider in 2 weeks time on home soil given poor form. He's abandoned ! All 4 missed the cut last week

Jon Rahm wants to eclipse Seve with 4  National titles and goes off as the strong favourite here but there is a niggling injury to consider and having opted not to play the Pro-Am today and being on standby for his wife's pending baby delivery, he will have some side distractions to consider. So he's worth taking on this week but, as always, beware the injured golfer!

Matt Wallace on the other hand is totally focused on acquiring Ryder Cup points; 12-1-8 on his last 3 starts back on the DP Tour augurs well on a course that he plays for the first time but a course that should suit given his form at Crans Sur Sierre which often correlates nicely with Campo Villa de Madrid. This Ryder Cup motivation will drive him on and having won 2 starts ago, he will know he can compete again this week and take every opportunity to collate more RC points. 

I'll chance Alex Fitzpatrick here also given his solid form all year and his perceived liking for this type of track; 20th on debut last year and showing solid form in Switzerland too with returns of 6-5 the last 2 starts, he's a decent price @40s with the 8 places on offer and is of interest.

Renato Paratore has slipped back the past 18 months or so but has shown he likes this course with 13-9 finishes on his last 2 visits , throw in mc-13-29-7 at Crans, this is a course that he could find something again. There may be too much emphasis on Crans form being taken into account however and his missed cut last month is a red flag but @ 250/1 for 10 places I'm gonna have some small interest in the trust that the course can inspire him again.

I do like Julien Guerrier a lot for the week though. He's 66/1 - 8 places having finished 6-3-9 on his last visits. Whilst form of late hasn't been exactly eye catching he does have 5/19 TOP-20s this season and he did produce the 6th place finish here without any form at all coming into the week. Here's hoping he just loves the course

There has to be a Spaniard on the staking plan surely? I'll chance Nacho Elvira @ 200/1 - 8 places. Missed cut each time here the pas3 years, what could possibly go wrong here this week?

Selections

2 pts e/w M. Wallace @ 20/1 - 8 places
2 pts e/w A. Fitzpatrick @ 40/1 - 8 places
.75 pts e/w R. Paratore @ 250/1 - 10 places
1 pt e/w J. Guerrier @ 66/1 - 8 places
.5 pts e/w N. Elvira @ 200/1 - 8 places

BMW PGA Championship 2024 - Wentworth GC, England

 Selections

1 pt e/w Frederic Lacroix @ 100/1 - 8 places

1 pt e/w Joost Luiten @ 100/1 - 8 places

1 pt e/w Shubhankar Sharma @ 90/1 - 8 places

1 pt e/w Guido Migliozzi @ 80/1 - 10 places

Irish Open 2024 - Royal County Down, Ireland

Selections 

2 pts E/W T. Detry @ 30/1 - 8 places 

2.5 pts E/W T. Olesen @ 50/1 - 8 places 

1.5 pts E/W M. Kinhult @ 225/1 - 8 places 

1 pt E/W E. Ferguson @ 70/1 - 8 places 

European Masters 2024 - Crans sur Sierre, Switzerland

There's quite a few I could back in Switzerland this week and I was keen on Matt Wallace initially but price and value below him the market means I'm leaving him be but he did sound bullish about producing results at the moment to get much needed Ryder Cup points on the board. That said he's not the only one motivated to do well over the next few weeks with Guido Migliozzi, Erik Van Rooyen, Nicolai Hogaard and Matteo Mannasero also losing out from the shortlist. Ewen Ferguson, Rozner and and Siem also miss out so the faith is kept with 3 of the 4 players that were backed last week at The Belfry.

Selections

1.5 pts e/w J. Svensson @ 30/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w G. Green @ 55/1 - 7 places
1 pt e/w R. Langasque @ 33/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w D. Micheluzzi @ 110/1 - 7places

1 pt e/w A. Wilson @ 100/1 - 7 places

British Masters 2024 - The Belfry, Warwickshire, England

Selections

1 pt e/w D. Micheluzzi @ 90/1 - 10 places
2 pt e/w J. Svensson @ 40/1 - 10 places
1 pt e/w C. Hill @ 55/1 - 10 places
1 pt e/w A. Wilson @ 125/1 - 10 places

FedEx St Jude Championship 2024 - TPC Southwind, Memphis

 The first playoff event for the FedEx Cup sees 70 players teeing it up this week. Cannot believe that this and just two more events wraps up the PGA season in August (Tour Championship ends Sep 1st!)

Selections

2 pts e/w J. Thomas @ 40/1 - 7 places
1.5 pts e/w S.Im @ 33/1 - 7 places
1 pt e/w E. Cole @ 100/1 - 7 places

Czech Masters 2024 -

 

A new course and a return to golf betting for myself having spent the month of July in Italy.

Just some picks favouring players who have been playing well this season in the hope that their break from DPT action hasn't been too long.

Selections:

1 pt e/w Jesper Svensson @ 45/1 - 7 places

1.25 pts e/w Niklas Moller @ 25/1 - 7 places
1 pt e/w David Micheluzzi @ 66/1 - 8 places

Italian Open 2024 - Adriatic GC

Selections 

1.5 pts E/W C. Hill @ 40/1 - 8 places

1 pt E/W Y. Katsuragawa @ 66/1 - 8 places

1.5 pts E/W J. Veerman @ 33/1 - 8 places 

Rocket Mortgage Classic 2024 - Detroit GC

Selections 

2 pts E/W C.Kirk @ 50/1 - 8 places

1 pt E/W A. Smalley @ 125/1 - 8 places

.75 pts E/W H. Norlander @ 2501/1 - 8 places 

Compliance Solutions Championship 2024 ( KFT) - Jimmie Austin OU GC

Selections

2.5 pts E/W M. McGreevy @ 28/1 - 6 places

Travelers Championship 2024 - TPC River Highlands

Selections 

1.5 pts E/W Tom Kim @ 40/1 - 8 places

1.5 pts E/W J. Thomas @ 35/1 - 8 places

KLM Open 2025 - The International GC

 Not much value for me this week in the Netherlands.

Selections

2 pt e/w Yuto Katsuragawa @ 50/1 - 8 places

US Open 2024 - Pinehurst ,N.C

 Pinehurst No.2 hosts the 2024 US Open this week, a course that has been very kind to this blog over the years, with Martin Kaymer winning here in 2014 and Michael Campbell winning in 2005! Payne Stewart was the only other winner of the US Open here in 1999 also. With Kaymer & Cambo winning here on the last 2 occasions, I go in search of the Pinehurst hattrick this week. 

A player needs to be in strong form this week if he is to win and it's very difficult not to consider Scheffler (obviously) Xander and Collin Morikawa. You could add DeChambeau, Hovland & Aberg to that list also and Rory McIlroy. Matt Fitzpatrick, Tony Finau, Sam Burns & Corey Conners are hitting form at the right time too as too can be said of Sepp Straka, Sungjae Im & Christian Bezuidenhout.

Selections

3 pt E/W Rory McIlroy @ 11/1 - 8 places
2 pt E/W Collin Morikawa @ 16/1 - 8 places
1.5 pt E/W Matt Fitzpatrick @ 40/1 - 8 places
1 pt E/W Shane Lowry @ 55/1 - 8 places
.75 pts E/W Christian Bezuidenhout @ 110/1 - 8 places

The Memorial 2024 - Muirfield Village, Dublin, Ohio

 Selections

2 pts  e/w J. Thomas @ 28/1 - 6 places
1.5 pts e/w M.Homa @ 40/1 - 6 places

1.25 pts e/w Si Woo Kim @ 50/1 - 6 places
1 pt e/w T. Hoge @ 100/1 - 6 places

European Open 2024 - Green Eagle GC, Hamburg, Germany

 

A very competitive field assembling here in Hamburg this week where the DP Tour continues to see lower ranked golfers at the top of the markets each week. Finding value each week is getting harder on this tour and has alluded to a few weeks ago, more emphasis needs to be put on those capable of a TOP-10/TOP-20. This sentiment hit hard last week where blog selection Romain Langasque finished T2nd, Finau went from T-2 after 54 to finish behind Lee Hodges in 17th! Max McGreevy was backed in Knoxville....finished T-2nd! I've given up counting how many selections have been put up since my last tournament winner for the blog.

From an original shortlist of 36 players I managed to get it down to 12 for the outright then went back to look at potential TOP-10s. A couple of players that dropped off the outright shortlist being too short but come into the TOP10 betting are; Hao Tong Li,Thriston Lawrence, Dan Bradbury and Julien Guerrier. I have left them out but noted them here (13.50 , 6.60 , 10.50 & 11.00 respectively)

I want to back Jordan Smith here but he simply doesn't contend often enough and the 22/1 about a player that has only won twice on tour doesn't encourage an investment but his course fit screams a bet! As a punter, I may very well have lost my ability in the game as I get hung up on value & price and would probably prefer to revert to purely judging form & course attributes for this tour, and so finalized my shortlist as per below with a view to getting some momentum going forward and seeing how the TOP-10 markets can help limit the pain of such a long drawdown.

I'll stick with each-way approach on the PGA Tour for now, whilst there is no liquidity at all on the LPGA, Challenge & KFT tours for anything other than each way. Even the Women's US Open this week on Betfair shows very little action (Nellie being the reason?)

Player	BET365 Odds	Best Odds	Best Exchange	My Odds	TOP-10 (Exchange)
Jordan Smith	23	23	35	21	4.33
Tom McKibbin	21	21	27	29	4
Richard Mansell	29	26	29	26	4.33
Laurie Canter	29	31	38	29	5
Ewen Ferguson	41	51	95	29	10.3
Romain Langasque	34	34	60	26	6.60
Paul Waring	34	36	50	46	5.9
Niklas Norgaard Moller	36	36	37	34	5
Frederic Lacroix	36	36	50	36	6
Manuel Elvira	91	101	140	81	14.5
Joel Girrbach	91	101	180	91	16.0
Freddy Schott	101	126	160	101	14.0
Adrian Otaegui	31	36	80	34	8.4
Connor Syme	41	46	55	46	6.49
Ross Fisher	111	126	200	226	16.2

Selections

WIN ONLY (4 pts)

1 pt L. Canter @ 38.00
.5 pts E.Ferguson @ 95.00

.5 pts R. Langasque @ 60.00

.5 pts F.Lacroix @ 50.00

.25 pts M.Elvira @ 140.00

.25 pts J. Girrbach @ 180.00

.25 pts F.Schott @ 160.00

.75 pts A.Otaegui @ 80.00

TOP-10 (13 pts)

2 pts L. Canter @ 5.00

2 pts E. Ferguson @ 10.30

2 pts R. Langasque @ 6.60

2 pts F.Lacroix @ 6.00

1 pts M.Elvira @ 14.50

1 pts J. Girrbach @ 16.00

1 pts F.Schott @ 14.00

2 pts A.Otaegui @ 8.40

Canadian Open 2024 - Hamilton GC, Ontario

 Selections

2.5 pts e/w S. Lowry @ 22/1 - 8 places
1.5 pts e/w M. Hughes @ 40/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w B. Silverman @ 125/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w T. Pendrith @ 50/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w A. Novak @ 150/1 - 8 places

Danish Golf Challenge 2024 - Odense Eventyr Golf, Odense, Denmark

 Selections

1.5 pts e/w Nicolai Kristensen @ 18/1 - 6 places

1.5 pts e/w B.Akesson  @ 50/1 - 6 places

Charles Schwab Challenge 2024 - Colonial CC, Fort Worth, Texas

Selections

2 pts e/w T. Finau @ 28/1 - 8 places
2 pts e/w M. Homa @ 20/1 - 8 places
1.5 pt e/w C. Bezuidenhout @ 35/1 - 10 places
1 pt e/w L. Hodges @ 70/1 - 8 places

Soudal Open 2023 - Rinkven International GC

1 pt E/W M. Mannasero @ 66/1 - 7 places

1 pts E/W A. Dumont De Chassart @ 50/1 - 6 places

1.5 pts E/W R. Langasque @ 40/1 - 7 places

PGA Championship 2024 - Valhalla, Louisville, Kentucky

 Selections

3 pts        e/w J. Rahm @ 16/1 - 8 places
1.5 pts     e/w J. Thomas @ 50/1 - 10 places
1 pt         e/w S. Lowry @ 100/1 - 8 places
.75 pts     e/w C. Bezuidenhout @ 150/1 - 8 places

Cognizant Founders Cup LPGA 2024 -

 Selections

1 pt e/w Lydia Ko @ 28/1 - 6 places
1 pt e/w L. Maguire @ 40/1 - 6 places

Myrtle Beach Classic 2024 - The Dunes, SC

 Selections

1.75 pts e/w A. Novak @ 40/1 - 8 places

1 pt e/w A. Cook @ 150/1 - 8 places

Wells Fargo Championship 2024 - Quail Hollow GC

 Selections

1 pt e/w J.T. Poston @ 66/1 - 8 places
1 pt e/w T. Pendrith @ 100/1 - 6 places
1 pt e/w B. Harman @ 50/1 - 6 places

China Open 2024 - Hidden Grace GC, Shenzhen, China

 Scott Strange won the China Open back in 2009 and in doing so gave this blog its first winner @ 50/1, a result that came after just 4 events, 13 selections and 2 placings...2009 would see the blog return a P&L of 73.01 units. How the drawdown currently could do with a winner this week !

Just the 3 selections

Selections

2 pts e/w Jesper Svensson @ 35/1 - 7 places
1 pt e/w Matteo Mannasero @ 66/1 - 7 places
1 pt e/w Jeong Weon Ko @ 80/1 - 7 places

ISPA Handa Championship 2024 - Taiheiyo Club, Gotemba Course, Gotemba, Japan

Selections

2 pts e/w Y. Paul @ 25/1 - 7 places
2 pts e/w E. Ferguson @ 35/1 - 8 places

The Masters 2024

Selections 

2 pts E/W J. Thomas @ 35/1 - 8 places

1 pt E/W T. Olesen @ 200/1 - 8 places

1 pts E/W C. Kirk @ 275/1 - 8 places

But.......c'mon Rory !! 

Valspar Championship 2024 - Copperhead GC, Palm Harbor, Florida

I found little value in this week's PGA event - well worth revisiting after the event to see how the shortlist fared and where my tissue varied to actual SP etc 

I'm going with 3 only here, really looking for a TOP10

Selections (Total outlay 6pts)

0.5 pts WIN M. McNealy   @ 65.00   / 1.5 pts TOP-10 @ 6.60

0.5 pts WIN K. Yu              @ 170.00 / 1.5 pts TOP-10 @ 13.00

0.5 pts WIN A. Novak        @ 200.00 / 1.5 pts TOP-10 @ 14.50

Singapore Classic 2024 - Laguna Golf Resort, Singapore

 We're up to 229 selections and counting after Xander Schauffele whimpered out at Sawgrass on Sunday last ! Think the potential Masters winner shortlist will be quite small in 3 weeks as there does not appear to be too many "fighters" on the PGA Tour at present who want to win a gold tournament. 

We move onto The Valspar Championship at Copperhead this week where the "snake pit" will sort out the winners from the also-rans whilst the DP Tour returns to Laguna Golf Resort in Singapore.

It may be a decent field in fairness but I'm again struggling to find real value, mostly due to my own tissue perhaps being way out of kilter but as alluded to a few weeks ago, the approach now is to back win on the exchange and take TOP-10/TOP-20s and see can we get some coin back into the bankroll.

Player	My Shortlist	BET365 Odds	Best Odds	Best Exchange	My Odds
Shane Lowry	Current Form	10	10	10.3	13
Matthieu Pavon	Current Form	15	15	18.1	15
Rasmus Hojgaard	Multi	15	15	19.1	19
Tom McKibbin	Multi	19	21	23	23
Jordan Smith	Strategy	26	26	33	26
Thriston Lawrence	Strategy	23	26	31	23
Zander Lombard	Multi	31	31	41	29
Richard Mansell	Course	34	34	39	36
Ewen Ferguson	Current Form	31	34	45	31
Alejandro Del Rey	Course	34	41	39	51
Alex Fitzpatrick	Current Form	56	51	78	46
Paul Waring	Course	56	51	78	56
Frederic Lacroix	Current Form	61	61	74	51
Grant Forrest	Course	71	67	118	81
Jesper Svensson	Current Form	67	67	83	81
Ugo Coussaud	Current Form	71	81	98	67
Daniel Hillier	Fancy	81	81	127	67
Johannes Veerman	Current Form	101	101	176	91
Aaron Cockerill	Current Form	81	91	157	101
Guido Migliozzi	Current Form	101	111	176	81
Ockie Strydom	Course	126	126	196	67
Gavin Green	Current Form	111	101	176	81
Haotong Li	Current Form	91	126	176	101
Max McGreevy	Current Form	151	176	225	111

My 24-man shortlist

From the shortlist, there are players I just know don't have it to challenge come Sunday but they continue to be there or thereabouts and it's the bet that they can turn in some TOP-10s that keep me interested. The shortlist will need to have 20-30 players going forward if looking at the TOP-10/TOP-20 markets anyway. Tom McKibbin may prove to be a winner at some point but I don't see value at all in his price here when compared to market leaders Lowry, Casey, Pavon and indeed Rasmus Hogaard. However, Shane Lowry is yet to show his worth when a short priced favourite but he is in great form just 3 weeks out from Augusta and he's hard to ignore totally but at the price presents no opportunity here. Ugo Coussaud joined The Birdie Club non moving day list recently but I'm willing to give him one more go here. It really is beyond a joke now to see my selections nearly every week go from inside 2 or 3 shots off the lead after 36 holes to....no hope come Saturday evening....Coussaud owes me now! Not that Max McGreevy does however but he's a very interesting runner here. Max has plenty of experience overseas having spent a season on the PGA China Tour before earning his Korn Ferry Tour card and subsequently winning (then losing) his PGA Tour card. Not so sure Laguna will suit him off the tee but I have to play him anyway where he could surprise.

I was keen to reduce the numbers in y staking plans going forward but thought there was merit in taking Richard Mansell on @ 30/1 - 7 places as well as Frederic Lacroix @ 60/1 & Daniel Hillier @ 80/1 .

Missing out are Hojgaard,Migliozzi, Li & Ferguson who were seriously considered.

Selections

0.5 pts WIN U. Coussaud @ 110.00   / 1.5 pts TOP-10 @ 10.50

0.5 pts WIN M. McGreevy @ 300.00 / 1.5 pts TOP-10 @ 18.00

0.5 pts WIN R. Mansell @ 38.00        / 1.5 pts TOP-10 @   4.80 

0.5 pts WIN F. Lacroix @ 60.00         / 1.5 pts TOP-10 @   6.80

0.5 pts WIN D. Hillier @ 130.00        / 1.5 pts TOP-10 @  10.00