Jhonattan Vegas came up just a shot short for us last week when Branden Grace decided he'd join Jon Rahm, Charley Hoffman & Ted Potter Jr by playing the last 2 holes in 3-under in Puerto Rico as highlighted by Justin Ray. Grace's eagle-birdie snatched the win from under us. With Kevin Kisner losing a play-off to Robert Streb at the RSM Classic and Joaquin Niemann losing in similar fashion to Harris English in Hawaii this season, one would think the rub of the green would be coming our way but alas, its "nearly man" again and the P&L suffers despite hitting crossbars continuously.
We move on though and look for some value at Bay Hill. It may be an ideal week for Rory McIlroy to get back to the winners enclosure and Victor Hovland must be due to go in again soon but I think their prices are too short and therefore give us some value further down the pegging. Similar to last year, I'm going to try keep faith with players I have focused on in previous weeks, especially here this week where course form is very important. First off the page for me then is Marc Leishman who disappointed for me at Riviera last month but he's in OK form coming here this week and having won this 3 years ago and posted a further 2 TOP-10s in the last 4 years, the Aussie can be backed @ 45/1 - 8 places but I'm opting for 70.00 on Betfair in the Winner market and the 6.80 for the TOP-10 market.
I was impressed with Wyndham Clark at Riviera when finishing 8th and his game could be well suited for here. I also liked his post first round interview that was broadcast and was impressed upon his maturity and approach to his game and where he sits on the PGA Tour at present. He's well worth following over the next few events for sure. I'm hoping with lack of spectators that the rough plays tough this week and makes the tournament another strong test for the players and if it does develop into a tough event then I do see the 27 year old doing quite well. The 100/1 - 8 places is certainly of interest to me.
Kevin Kisner had a great chance to win this back in 2017 when he finished runner-up to Marc Leishman. "Kis" is showing solid form this season despite a slow start to 2021 itself but I'm happy to get him back onside here @ 110.00 / 8.40 TOP-10
I backed Chris Kirk 3 times in 2020 and I'm happy to have a punt on him again this week. Chris has posted 4 TOP-20s in his last 7 visits here and following his 2nd placing at the Sony Open in January he has now climbed to number 111 in the OWGR rankings climbing over 100 places in doing so. He will have reset his goals for 2021 that will motivate him to break into the TOP-100 initially and target more TOP-10s. I've backed Chris this week @ 180.00 /12.50 TOP-10
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