Tuesday 16 March 2021

Honda Classic 2021 - National PGA, Florida

 PGA Tour action moves onto the PGA National in Palm Beach Florida, a course that typically ranks high as one of the tour's most difficult courses within the season. Given the case, the quality of field is a little disappointing to us golf fans but understandable as the schedule was shaken up for "Super-Season", where we were treated to quality events the past two weeks at Bay Hill and Sawgrass and can look forward to a WGC matchplay and Masters within the next four weeks. They can't play every week...unless of course you are Sungjae Im ! 

Players who excel at ball striking normally do well here and is proven by the roll of honour over the years; an abundance of Major winners go in here.......but....... we've also had a quite a number of shock results! Perhaps this years affair will produce another big priced winner and its certainly a tournament that I will chance some decent prices in.

Wyndham Clark let me down at Bay Hill when missing the cut but he has got course form at PGA National and I'm willing to chance him again @ 55/1 - 8 places. As per my Bay Hill preview, Clark showed solid form at Riviera, another tight course requiring strong tee to green game so his game is not too far away and he could relish the week ahead where he has finished 11th & 7th the past two seasons.

Talor Gooch was of interest but as I write up the selections he has come in in the market and he's not a value bet for me @40s. Cameron Tringale was also on my shortlist but at the same price I will pass also.

In the quest to find a big priced return this week, I settled on Nate Lashley @ 150/1 - 8 places and Jason Dufner @ 176/1 - 8 places ! The former has shown some good form lately. He's 9/14 this season with 2 TOP-10s to boast, with the latest coming at Pebble Beach a week after finishing TOP-20 at Scottsdale. He makes his first appearance since debut in 2018 where a second round 82 ended his participation following an opening 69. Given his form I thought there was a bit of value at the price.

The former PGA Champion, Jason Dufner posted 3 TOP20s in his last 6 starts here and has stated in the past that the course was to his liking and so were the conditions having grown up in the region since his early teens. He may not be the player of old but it was only 4 years ago since he last won at Colonial and with Lee Westwood showing his prowess being in his 40s the past 2 weeks, and it being a home game, I'm happy to throw the dice with "Duf" at a course he knows well.


Selections

1 pt e/w W. Clark @ 55/1 - 8 places
0.5 pt e/w N. Lashley @ 150/1 - 8 places
0.5 pts e/w J.Dufner @ 175/1 - 8 places
1 pt TOP-20 J. Dufner @ 15/2




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